🔍 POST-MORTEM

3 Kasım 2026
%78
M1 isabet · oynanan 14/18 ayak

Günün kazananları · 3 Kasım 2026

18 koşu · ganyana göre, sürpriz önde · kaynak TJK resmî sonuç

SOSAN AĞA Adana K8 58.55 · sürpriz · TIZONA Kocaeli K2 21.15 · sürpriz · SELANİK PRENSİ Adana K7 9.10 · DOUBLE RUNNER Kocaeli K7 8.15 · THAT BEATS ALL Adana K4 6.90 · TERRAFERMA Kocaeli K9 5.25 · HARŞİT BEYİ Kocaeli K5 4.00 · GÜÇLÜ PRENS Adana K6 3.65 · KING MAHİR Kocaeli K1 3.60 · TAYYAR BEY Adana K9 3.10 · SHAWSHANK Kocaeli K4 2.85 · INNERBLOOM Kocaeli K6 2.60 · SAĞLAMCAN Kocaeli K8 2.40 · KURT BAKIŞLI Adana K1 1.85 · VAYNAKH Kocaeli K3 1.85 · SPIDER Adana K2 1.55 · NALÇAKAN BEY Adana K3 1.20 · ATLAS HAN Adana K5 1.05

Sim-Race uyumu · 3 Kasım 2026

sim ne kadar tuttu: sıra uyumu ortalama %54 · podyum 31/54 · kazanan sim 1.si 6/18 koşu

SİM
koşusim ilk 3gerçek ilk 3kazanan sim #podyumuyum
Adana 1KURT BAKIŞLI · KOYUNEVİ ASLANI · GOLAÇİYAKURT BAKIŞLI · ZUBİR · YILKAR11/361
Adana 2SPIDER · KING İZZET · VALENTINE GIRLSPIDER · KING İZZET · BERNAMCAN12/362
Adana 3NALÇAKAN BEY · GÜNEYİM · SECRET STORMNALÇAKAN BEY · SILVEN · MEKANSIZ KRAL11/337
Adana 4AKIN BEYLİ · PRINCESS BALA · AYHAN IN MY HEARTTHAT BEATS ALL · KING GÖKALP · AYHAN IN MY HEART71/323
Adana 5ATLAS HAN · AKGÜL HANIM · BEYÇIKMAZATLAS HAN · AKGÜL HANIM · SILANAZ12/331
Adana 6ANKA ATEŞİ · SARPER · GÜÇLÜ PRENSGÜÇLÜ PRENS · ANKA ATEŞİ · CİHANA BEDEL32/371
Adana 7TOUCH OF HEAVEN · WE ARE THE STAR · SELANİK PRENSİSELANİK PRENSİ · WE ARE THE STAR · ŞERDİL32/357
Adana 8ATEŞİZİ · ARDANUÇDAN · ÇİRKİN VE GÜZELSOSAN AĞA · ATEŞİZİ · ARDANUÇDAN92/331
Adana 9TAYYAR BEY · BELALI CİBEK · YÜCEOĞULTAYYAR BEY · YÜCEOĞUL · MESTAN BEY12/365
Kocaeli 1MISS CALIFORNIA · BOLD RUNNER · BEYLERİNBEYİKING MAHİR · BEYLERİNBEYİ · BERMEDEE41/340
Kocaeli 2KAZE NI KATSU · AĞUSTOS AHMET · OSULLIVANTIZONA · OSULLIVAN · AĞUSTOS AHMET62/329
Kocaeli 3VAYNAKH · LAGUNA SUNSET · NO MORE SORROWVAYNAKH · LAGUNA SUNSET · ROSAS DEL ROSEDAL12/390
Kocaeli 4NO BRAKES · SHENRON · TM BATAILESHAWSHANK · NO BRAKES · DIAMOND CROWN41/353
Kocaeli 5DESPOTLU · SEMENDİN OĞLU · HARŞİT BEYİHARŞİT BEYİ · AFŞINTAY · DESPOTLU32/377
Kocaeli 6MELONCITTO · MY DREAM SERAP · MAYBACKINNERBLOOM · MELONCITTO · MY DREAM SERAP42/366
Kocaeli 7DRAGON FURIOUS · ONUR BEYİM · MY BLACK BOYDOUBLE RUNNER · NOBIL BIGTIME · MY BLACK BOY71/357
Kocaeli 8UÇAN YAPRAK · SAĞLAMCAN · NEVERLANDSAĞLAMCAN · NEVERLAND · UÇAN YAPRAK23/366
Kocaeli 9SANGARYAN · ARSLANBEYLİ · TERRAFERMATERRAFERMA · SANGARYAN · SAVCI BEY32/365

Uyum = sim sırası ile gerçek bitiş arasındaki Spearman korelasyonu, 0-100 (rastgele sıralama ~0). Koşu öncesi mühürlenen olasılıklardan; derece modellenmez.

TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez

Kart: Adana, Kocaeli

🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 6/18 — %33

(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)

AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu

K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)

ayakbandımızkazananAGFsonuç
KAdana-K1YILKAR · KURT BAKIŞLI · KOYUNEVİ ASLANIKURT BAKIŞLI1✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K2SPIDER · KING İZZETSPIDER1✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K3NALÇAKAN BEY · SECRET STORMNALÇAKAN BEY1✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K4THAT BEATS ALL · AKIN BEYLİ · PRINCESS BALA · DEEP GIRL · HIGH HILLS · KING GÖKALP · AYHAN IN MY HEART · DOUBLE WORLD · TALENTED HERO · VICENTE CALDERONTHAT BEATS ALL4✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K5ATLAS HAN · AKGÜL HANIM · KRALIN OĞLUATLAS HAN1✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K6TAŞTEPE · GÜÇLÜ PRENS · ANKA ATEŞİ · SARPERGÜÇLÜ PRENS1✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K7SELANİK PRENSİ · TOUCH OF HEAVENSELANİK PRENSİ4✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K8MADAM DAISY · ARDANUÇDAN · ATEŞİZİSOSAN AĞA9❌ KAÇTI
KAdana-K9ODABAŞI · TAYYAR BEYTAYYAR BEY1✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K1VENUS DOOM · BEYLERİNBEYİ · MISS CALIFORNIA · KING MAHİR · BERMEDEE · BOLD RUNNERKING MAHİR2✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K2OSULLIVAN · KAZE NI KATSU · AĞUSTOS AHMETTIZONA5❌ KAÇTI
KKocaeli-K3SİHİRLİ JOVANKA · VAYNAKH · LAGUNA SUNSET · ROSAS DEL ROSEDAL · NO MORE SORROW · ILGAZ WINDVAYNAKH1✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K4NO BRAKES · SHAWSHANK · KUZEY EFESİ · ESTOCADE · TM BATAILE · SHENRONSHAWSHANK2✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K5DESPOTLU · TATARUŞAĞI · SEMENDİN OĞLUHARŞİT BEYİ3❌ KAÇTI
KKocaeli-K6MY DREAM SERAP · MELONCITTO · INNERBLOOMINNERBLOOM1✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K7NOBIL BIGTIME · DRAGON FURIOUS · ONUR BEYİMDOUBLE RUNNER6❌ KAÇTI
KKocaeli-K8NEVERLAND · UÇAN YAPRAK · SAĞLAMCANSAĞLAMCAN2✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K9TERRAFERMA · SANGARYAN · ARSLANBEYLİ · RUNNING MONSTER · SAVCI BEY · TEMERARIOTERRAFERMA3✅ BANTTA

M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 14/18 — %78
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)

(tüm ayaklar dahil: 14/18 — %78)

KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü

  • Adana · K1→K6 — 🎉 TÜM AYAKLAR TUTTU
  • Adana · K4→K9 — 5. ayakta düştü (Adana-K8 · SOSAN AĞA)
  • Kocaeli · K1→K6 — 2. ayakta düştü (Kocaeli-K2 · TIZONA)
  • Kocaeli · K4→K9 — 2. ayakta düştü (Kocaeli-K5 · HARŞİT BEYİ)

SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu

Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?

ayakAGF-1bantta mıydıkazandı mı
Adana-K1Kurt Bakişli✅🏆 KAZANDI
Adana-K2Spider✅🏆 KAZANDI
Adana-K3Nalçakan Bey✅🏆 KAZANDI
Adana-K4Princess Bala✅—
Adana-K5Atlas Han✅🏆 KAZANDI
Adana-K6Güçlü Prens✅🏆 KAZANDI
Adana-K7We Are The Star❌ DIŞARIDA—
Adana-K8Ateşi̇zi̇✅—
Adana-K9Tayyar Bey✅🏆 KAZANDI
Kocaeli-K1Venus Doom✅—
Kocaeli-K2Kaze Ni Katsu✅—
Kocaeli-K3Vaynakh✅🏆 KAZANDI
Kocaeli-K4No Brakes✅—
Kocaeli-K5Despotlu✅—
Kocaeli-K6My Dream Serap✅—
Kocaeli-K7Dragon Furious✅—
Kocaeli-K8Uçan Yaprak✅—
Kocaeli-K9Sangaryan✅—

Bugün: AGF-1 1 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 0 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)

🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi

Atılan TEK: 1/3 (beklenti ~%36 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))

ayakTEKpkararsonuçkazanankazanan AGF
Kocaeli-K6MY DREAM SERAP0.4271TEK❌INNERBLOOM K DB1
Kocaeli-K2OSULLIVAN0.4042TEK-ADAY—TIZONA KG DB SK5
Adana-K3NALÇAKAN BEY0.3588TEK✅ TUTTUNALÇAKAN BEY KG DB SK1
Kocaeli-K5DESPOTLU0.3151TEK-ADAY—HARŞİT BEYİ KG DB SK3
Kocaeli-K1VENUS DOOM0.3126BANT—KING MAHİR SK2
Kocaeli-K8NEVERLAND0.2958BANT—SAĞLAMCAN KG DB SK2
Adana-K6TAŞTEPE0.2926TEK❌GÜÇLÜ PRENS KG DB SK1
Adana-K4THAT BEATS ALL0.2684TEK-ADAY⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)THAT BEATS ALL K DB4
Adana-K7SELANİK PRENSİ0.2557BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)SELANİK PRENSİ DB SK4
Kocaeli-K9TERRAFERMA0.2371BANT⬜——
Kocaeli-K3VAYNAKH0.2191BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)VAYNAKH SK1
Kocaeli-K7DRAGON FURIOUS0.2123BANT—DOUBLE RUNNER SKG SK6
Adana-K8MADAM DAISY0.2103BANT—SOSAN AĞA KG SK9
Adana-K5ATLAS HAN0.2033BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)ATLAS HAN KG SK1
Adana-K2SPIDER0.1968BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)SPIDER SK1
Kocaeli-K4NO BRAKES0.1958BANT—SHAWSHANK K DB SK2
Adana-K1YILKAR0.1882VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK✅ haklı vetoKURT BAKIŞLI KG K1
Adana-K9ODABAŞI0.1347BANT—TAYYAR BEY KG SK1

Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 10 ayağın 4'inde aday yine kazandı (%40). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.

Sert veto: 1 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md

Bu tablo TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.

🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ

Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (33265 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-11-03).

Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %56 (10/18) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %28 (5/18) · kör nokta 0/18

ayakkazananorkestra sırasıteşhis
Adana-K1KURT BAKIŞLI2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Adana-K2SPIDER1✅ sistem çalıştı
Adana-K3NALÇAKAN BEY1✅ sistem çalıştı
Adana-K4THAT BEATS ALL1✅ sistem çalıştı
Adana-K5ATLAS HAN1✅ sistem çalıştı
Adana-K6GÜÇLÜ PRENS2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Adana-K7SELANİK PRENSİ3🟠 kol dar kalmış
Adana-K8SOSAN AĞA11🔴 ceza fazla sert
Adana-K9TAYYAR BEY4🟠 kol dar kalmış
Kocaeli-K1KING MAHİR4🟠 kol dar kalmış
Kocaeli-K2TIZONA5🟠 kol dar kalmış
Kocaeli-K3VAYNAKH2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Kocaeli-K4SHAWSHANK2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Kocaeli-K5HARŞİT BEYİ6🟠 ağırlık düşük
Kocaeli-K6INNERBLOOM3🟠 kol dar kalmış
Kocaeli-K7DOUBLE RUNNER4🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Kocaeli-K8SAĞLAMCAN3🟠 kol dar kalmış
Kocaeli-K9TERRAFERMA1✅ sistem çalıştı

Trend — son 30 gün

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y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M1 (bant)</text><circle cx="132" cy="250" r="3.5" fill="#2f855a"/><text x="140" y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M3 (1. sıra)</text></svg>

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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">156</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="447.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="581.0" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">149</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="255.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="389.0" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">85</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="189.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="323.0" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">63</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="171.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="305.0" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">57</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="27.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="161.0" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">9</text></svg>

Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.

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