🔍 POST-MORTEM
11 Ekim 2026Günün kazananları · 11 Ekim 2026
OTTANTOTTO · LAMAZİ GOGO · ÖZGÜNALP · BOUCHERON · ARISTOCAT · BOBİDİK · AZP STAR · WIND OF ROMANCE · UMUDUNU KAYBETME · YARIŞ KRALİÇESİ · BAY ARAZ · BİR EDA · MR ÇIRAK · ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER · ESİNİN KIZI · SING SCAT · ROLLING STONE · ORMELLO · LOCO SUGAR
Sim-Race uyumu · 11 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana 1 | SING SCAT · SAND PIPER · SON OF KEREM | SING SCAT · SON OF KEREM · SAND PIPER | 1 | 3/3 | 73 |
| Adana 2 | CİMİRİNGO · AZERBAYCANLI · BAŞARAN TAY | ÖZGÜNALP · AZERBAYCANLI · ÇELİKOVİÇ | 4 | 1/3 | 74 |
| Adana 3 | BAY ARAZ · KRAKEN · SEVDA MEVSİMİ | BAY ARAZ · SEVDA MEVSİMİ · KRAKEN | 1 | 3/3 | 73 |
| Adana 4 | BAŞARAN KIZ · SEVGİNUR · ALSAYFA | YARIŞ KRALİÇESİ · BAŞARAN KIZ · YAYLA ÇİÇEĞİ | 4 | 1/3 | 40 |
| Adana 5 | ALPHECCA · DİNAMİT KIZ · SOUTHERN SECRET | LAMAZİ GOGO · DİNAMİT KIZ · SUN OF MY HOME | 9 | 1/3 | 14 |
| Adana 6 | VEGVİSİR · FOREVER DALLAS · SHA CARRI | OTTANTOTTO · FOREVER DALLAS · CARSON ZIP | 7 | 1/3 | 64 |
| Adana 7 | FRANKI CHA CHA · SINGLE SHOT · NINE TREES | AZP STAR · NINE TREES · THE HOCUS | 5 | 1/3 | 40 |
| Adana 8 | ESİNİN KIZI · IRMAK SU · BENİM SULTANIM | ESİNİN KIZI · EŞAY · GÜZELNİSA | 1 | 1/3 | 55 |
| Adana 9 | BOBİDİK · IVAR · VICTORY ADDICT | BOBİDİK · DR NECO · MİRANHAN | 1 | 1/3 | 80 |
| Adana 10 | BÜLENT · GARDAŞOV · REŞATBEYLİ | BOUCHERON · GARDAŞOV · KUMKAPILI | 8 | 1/3 | 62 |
| İstanbul 1 | ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER · ÜSTÜNSOY · KÜÇÜK AZAT | ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER · KÜÇÜK AZAT · RASTGELOĞLUM | 1 | 2/3 | 71 |
| İstanbul 2 | ROLLING STONE · FIREFALL · GRETEL | ROLLING STONE · GRETEL · LADY ROZA | 1 | 2/3 | 88 |
| İstanbul 3 | THE LAST DRAGON · GLOWING GRACE · WIND OF ROMANCE | WIND OF ROMANCE · THE LAST DRAGON · GLOWING GRACE | 3 | 3/3 | 70 |
| İstanbul 4 | NEMOSİS · WELL SUPPORTED · LET IT BURN | ARISTOCAT · QUEEN MİHRİ · SUNLIGHT POWER | 4 | 0/3 | 41 |
| İstanbul 5 | STATUE OF LIBERTY · CALVADOS · MR ÇIRAK | MR ÇIRAK · STATUE OF LIBERTY · GIRALAMO | 3 | 2/3 | 64 |
| İstanbul 7 | ORMELLO · TYPHOON · ASRA İNAT | ORMELLO · SUPERSONIC BOOM · ROSARIO | 1 | 1/3 | 48 |
| İstanbul 8 | BİR EDA · ATILIMHANIM · ARABİAN | BİR EDA · TANKIZI · BALLIBİKE | 1 | 1/3 | 0 |
| İstanbul 9 | UMUDUNU KAYBETME · BABA ZAMAN · YAĞIZ TURBO | UMUDUNU KAYBETME · ÇELİK ABİ · EGETAY | 1 | 1/3 | 37 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Adana, İstanbul
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 3/19 — %16
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Adana-K1 | SAND PIPER · DISASTER GIRL · SING SCAT · SON OF KEREM · LODBROK | SING SCAT | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K2 | CİMİRİNGO · BAŞARAN TAY | ÖZGÜNALP | 5 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K3 | KAYNARHANIM · BAY ARAZ | BAY ARAZ | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K4 | ALSAYFA · BAŞARAN KIZ · ATEŞ KUŞLARI · SEVGİNUR | YARIŞ KRALİÇESİ | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K5 | SOUTHERN SECRET · ALPHECCA · DİNAMİT KIZ | LAMAZİ GOGO | 10 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K6 | FOREVER DALLAS · VEGVİSİR · CARSON ZIP · SHA CARRI · KING ÇELİK · ASYANIN GÜNEŞİ | OTTANTOTTO | 9 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K7 | SINGLE SHOT · FRANKI CHA CHA · NINE TREES · SİGUEME | AZP STAR | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K8 | IRMAK SU · ESİNİN KIZI | ESİNİN KIZI | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K9 | DR NECO · BOBİDİK · VICTORY ADDICT · IVAR | BOBİDİK | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K10 | TEK NERGİZ · GARDAŞOV · FORLORN · BÜLENT | BOUCHERON | 7 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | VİRA · ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER · TİBET ASLANI · ÜSTÜNSOY · KÜÇÜK AZAT · CANBULUT · RASTGELOĞLUM · PAMİRALP | ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | ROLLING STONE · LADY ROZA · FIREFALL | ROLLING STONE | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | THE LAST DRAGON · GLOWING GRACE | WIND OF ROMANCE | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | WELL SUPPORTED · NEMOSİS · DURU GIRL | ARISTOCAT | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | CALVADOS · STATUE OF LIBERTY | MR ÇIRAK | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | BEAUTY OF DARKNESS · LAVENDER · STAR RUNNER · LOCO SUGAR (IRE) | LOCO SUGAR | 1 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | ORMELLO · RAND AL THOR · TYPHOON | ORMELLO | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | ATILIMHANIM · BİR EDA · HAREM GÜZELİ | BİR EDA | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K9 | UMUDUNU KAYBETME · SEMRAKAYA · SÖZÜ GEÇER · PENÇSİR · ÖNDER · EGETAY · BABA ZAMAN · YAĞIZ TURBO · HARESE · HARESE | UMUDUNU KAYBETME | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 9/19 — %47
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 9/19 — %47)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Adana · K1→K6 — 2. ayakta düştü (Adana-K2 · ÖZGÜNALP)
- Adana · K5→K10 — 1. ayakta düştü (Adana-K5 · LAMAZİ GOGO)
- İstanbul · K1→K6 — 3. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K3 · WIND OF ROMANCE)
- İstanbul · K4→K9 — 1. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K4 · ARISTOCAT)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | Sing Scat | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K10 | Gardaşov | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K2 | Ci̇mi̇ri̇ngo | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K3 | Kraken | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| Adana-K4 | Başaran Kiz | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K5 | Di̇nami̇t Kiz | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K6 | Vegvi̇si̇r | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K7 | Franki Cha Cha | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K8 | Eşay | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| Adana-K9 | Dr Neco | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K1 | Çi̇lekeş Ömer | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K2 | Rolling Stone | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K3 | The Last Dragon | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K4 | Nemosi̇s | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | Statue Of Liberty | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K6 | Loco Sugar (Ire) | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K7 | Ormello | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K8 | Bi̇r Eda | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K9 | Umudunu Kaybetme | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
Bugün: AGF-1 2 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 0 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 0/4 (beklenti ~%59 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul-K3 | THE LAST DRAGON | 0.8061 | TEK | ❌ | WIND OF ROMANCE KG DB SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K5 | CALVADOS | 0.5519 | TEK | ❌ | MR ÇIRAK KG DB SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K8 | ATILIMHANIM | 0.5372 | TEK-ADAY | — | BİR EDA KG K | 1 |
| Adana-K9 | DR NECO | 0.5109 | TEK | ❌ | BOBİDİK SKG SK | 2 |
| Adana-K4 | ALSAYFA | 0.473 | TEK | ❌ | YARIŞ KRALİÇESİ KG K | 3 |
| Adana-K2 | CİMİRİNGO | 0.4476 | TEK-ADAY | — | ÖZGÜNALP KG | 5 |
| İstanbul-K4 | WELL SUPPORTED | 0.4435 | BANT | — | ARISTOCAT K | 4 |
| İstanbul-K6 | LAVENDER | 0.4227 | BANT | — | LOCO SUGAR SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K2 | ROLLING STONE | 0.4005 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | ROLLING STONE | 1 |
| İstanbul-K9 | UMUDUNU KAYBETME | 0.3714 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | UMUDUNU KAYBETME KG K DB | 1 |
| Adana-K7 | SINGLE SHOT | 0.3503 | TEK-ADAY | — | AZP STAR KG DB SK | 4 |
| İstanbul-K7 | ORMELLO | 0.3151 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | ORMELLO SK | 1 |
| Adana-K5 | SOUTHERN SECRET | 0.31 | BANT | — | LAMAZİ GOGO DB SK | 10 |
| Adana-K10 | TEK NERGİZ | 0.2855 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K8 | IRMAK SU | 0.2658 | BANT | — | ESİNİN KIZI SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K1 | VİRA | 0.2204 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | ✅ haklı veto | ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER KG K | 1 |
| Adana-K1 | SAND PIPER | 0.2129 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | ✅ haklı veto | SING SCAT KG K | 1 |
| Adana-K3 | KRAKEN | 0.2009 | BANT | — | BAY ARAZ | 2 |
| Adana-K6 | VEGVİSİR | 0.1829 | BANT | — | OTTANTOTTO KG SK | 9 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 9 ayağın 3'inde aday yine kazandı (%33). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 2 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32874 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-11).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %50 (9/18) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %17 (3/18) · kör nokta 1/18
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | SING SCAT | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K10 | BOUCHERON | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Adana-K2 | ÖZGÜNALP | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K3 | BAY ARAZ | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K4 | YARIŞ KRALİÇESİ | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K5 | LAMAZİ GOGO | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K6 | OTTANTOTTO | 6 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Adana-K7 | AZP STAR | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K8 | ESİNİN KIZI | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K9 | BOBİDİK | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K1 | ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K2 | ROLLING STONE | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K3 | WIND OF ROMANCE | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K4 | ARISTOCAT | 7 | 🔴 KÖR NOKTA |
| İstanbul-K5 | MR ÇIRAK | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K7 | ORMELLO | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K8 | BİR EDA | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K9 | UMUDUNU KAYBETME | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
🔴 1 KÖR NOKTA bugün — motorun 9 izlenen katmanından HİÇBİRİ ateşlemedi, ama at kazandı:
- ARISTOCAT (İstanbul-K4, kadro 11) — hiç sinyal yok. "o atta ne vardı?" sorusu — yeni sinyal adayı ara.
Trend — son 30 gün
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">160</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="394.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="528.9" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">135</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="310.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="444.1" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">106</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="204.8" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="338.8" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">70</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="196.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="330.0" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">67</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="17.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="151.6" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">6</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.