🔍 POST-MORTEM

2026-09-17
🎲 gün sayfası🖋 GÖRENkurgu🏆 TEK kapısıpost-mortem🧐 yorumtüm günler
%65
M1 isabet · oynanan 11/17 ayak

TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez

Kart: Ankara, İzmir

🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 5/17 — %29

(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)

AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu

K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)

ayakbandımızkazananAGFsonuç
KAnkara-K1STAR OF HANDEL · POWER OF THE NIGHTDOĞAN ASLANIM4❌ KAÇTI
KAnkara-K2SER VEYRON · MR NALÇAKANMR NALÇAKAN3✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K3İSKENDER HAN · SARAYBURNU · HEYHAT · TİBET ASLANIİSKENDER HAN2✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K4KÜÇÜK AZAT · ŞANSLI ADAM · UĞURLU BEBEK · ASLANLI OVAASLANLI OVA1✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K5PERIWINKLE · ALL THE STARS · WELL SUPPORTED · ROYAL PRYTANIA · OY YARE · GENERAL FEMALE · SOUL OF MINE · CEYHAN SULTANI · DAPPER GIRLPERIWINKLE5✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K6DORUKBATURDELİ UMUT2❌ KAÇTI
KAnkara-K7SERCAN BEY · BACK TO GLORY · CALL ME FREEBACK TO GLORY2✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K8MON BİJOU · LADY GROUND · EİKOGARBIN AFAKI2❌ KAÇTI
Kİzmir-K1HANSİNİ · WOLF LIGHTWOLF LIGHT1✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K2BRAVE CENTURY · LADY HELENE · LADY WARRIORCALL TO WARRIOR8❌ KAÇTI
Kİzmir-K3SON OF DENİZ · DREAM OF ANGEL · BARBAR BARLOBARBAR BARLO1✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K4FEARLESS DRAGON · PERFECT SUNSET · FLASH BOY · MUCHACHO · FIRE OF TYGAR · KING ZELAY · VOLPI · QUANTUM OF SOLACEFIRE OF TYGAR6✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K5FREE BLOOD · ŞAİBESİZ · ZENG · TATARUŞAĞI · DEMON HUNTER · SOSAN YILDIZI · İLBERK HAN · BABY ARYA · BENDEMEFREE BLOOD1✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K6WOLF DED · HEY JUDELODATO8❌ KAÇTI
Kİzmir-K7PRINCE OF DELMARPRINCE OF DELMAR1✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K8İLAYTAY · KAYALARIN ŞAHI · AYTEKİNBEYİLAYTAY1✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K9KOPUK UÇURTMA · EFSUNHATUN · YILDIZ SOYYILDIZ SULTAN13❌ KAÇTI

M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 11/17 — %65
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)

(tüm ayaklar dahil: 11/17 — %65)

KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü

SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu

Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?

ayakAGF-1bantta mıydıkazandı mı
Ankara-K1Star Of Handel✅—
Ankara-K2Brother Lovie❌ DIŞARIDA—
Ankara-K3Sarayburnu✅—
Ankara-K4Aslanli Ova✅🏆 KAZANDI
Ankara-K5All The Stars✅—
Ankara-K6Deni̇z Kestanesi̇❌ DIŞARIDA—
Ankara-K7Call Me Free✅—
Ankara-K8Lady Ground✅—
İzmir-K1Wolf Light✅🏆 KAZANDI
İzmir-K2Iron Tempest❌ DIŞARIDA—
İzmir-K3Barbar Barlo✅🏆 KAZANDI
İzmir-K4Fearless Dragon✅—
İzmir-K5Free Blood✅🏆 KAZANDI
İzmir-K6Hey Jude✅—
İzmir-K7Prince Of Delmar✅🏆 KAZANDI
İzmir-K8İlaytay✅🏆 KAZANDI
İzmir-K9Kopuk Uçurtma✅—

Bugün: AGF-1 3 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 0 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)

🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi

Atılan TEK: 1/3 (beklenti ~%43 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))

ayakTEKpkararsonuçkazanankazanan AGF
Ankara-K6DORUKBATUR0.5139TEK❌DELİ UMUT KG SK2
İzmir-K7PRINCE OF DELMAR0.4373TEK✅ TUTTUPRINCE OF DELMAR KG K DB1
Ankara-K7SERCAN BEY0.4247TEK-ADAY—BACK TO GLORY KG SK2
İzmir-K9KOPUK UÇURTMA0.4154TEK-ADAY⬜——
Ankara-K2SER VEYRON0.401TEK-ADAY—MR NALÇAKAN DB SKG SK3
İzmir-K1HANSİNİ0.3541TEK-ADAY—WOLF LIGHT K1
Ankara-K1STAR OF HANDEL0.3538BANT—DOĞAN ASLANIM SK4
İzmir-K2BRAVE CENTURY0.3502TEK❌CALL TO WARRIOR DB SK8
İzmir-K5FREE BLOOD0.335BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)FREE BLOOD KG DB SK1
Ankara-K8MON BİJOU0.3245BANT—GARBIN AFAKI SK2
İzmir-K6WOLF DED0.3098BANT—LODATO DB SKG SK8
İzmir-K8İLAYTAY0.2762BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)İLAYTAY KG SK1
İzmir-K4FEARLESS DRAGON0.268BANT—FIRE OF TYGAR KG K DB6
Ankara-K3İSKENDER HAN0.2655BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)İSKENDER HAN KG SK2
Ankara-K4KÜÇÜK AZAT0.2585BANT—ASLANLI OVA KG DB SK1
Ankara-K5PERIWINKLE0.2453BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)PERIWINKLE KG K5
İzmir-K3BARBAR BARLO0.2248BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)BARBAR BARLO DB SK1

Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 10 ayağın 5'inde aday yine kazandı (%50). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.

Bu tablo TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.

🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ

Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32441 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-09-17).

Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %59 (10/17) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %29 (5/17) · kör nokta 1/17

ayakkazananorkestra sırasıteşhis
Ankara-K1DOĞAN ASLANIM3🟠 kol dar kalmış
Ankara-K2MR NALÇAKAN2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Ankara-K3İSKENDER HAN1✅ sistem çalıştı
Ankara-K4ASLANLI OVA6🟠 ağırlık düşük
Ankara-K5PERIWINKLE1✅ sistem çalıştı
Ankara-K6DELİ UMUT2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Ankara-K7BACK TO GLORY2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Ankara-K8GARBIN AFAKI11🟠 ağırlık düşük
İzmir-K1WOLF LIGHT2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
İzmir-K2CALL TO WARRIOR9🔴 ceza fazla sert
İzmir-K3BARBAR BARLO3🟡 bantta, 1. değil
İzmir-K4FIRE OF TYGAR5🟠 kol dar kalmış
İzmir-K5FREE BLOOD1✅ sistem çalıştı
İzmir-K6LODATO4🟠 kol dar kalmış
İzmir-K7PRINCE OF DELMAR1✅ sistem çalıştı
İzmir-K8İLAYTAY1✅ sistem çalıştı
İzmir-K9YILDIZ SULTAN9🔴 KÖR NOKTA

🔴 1 KÖR NOKTA bugün — motorun 9 izlenen katmanından HİÇBİRİ ateşlemedi, ama at kazandı:

Trend — son 30 gün

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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">164</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="362.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="496.4" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">127</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="302.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="436.5" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">106</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="185.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="319.5" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">65</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="168.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="302.4" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">59</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="31.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="165.4" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">11</text></svg>

Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.

TJK Günlük · POST-MORTEM · 2026-09-17