🔍 POST-MORTEM
17 Ekim 2026Günün kazananları · 17 Ekim 2026
BERİVANCAN · HIZLI TERMİNATÖR · FATMA HANIM · SPEEDING BULLET · AYHAN IN MY HEART · GÜÇLÜ TÜRK · QUEEN OF VICTORY · WAR STORM · ESİNİN KIZI · GERARD · DİLDA HATUN · MYSTIC RUNNER · ŞAHLANTAY · TOPLUSER · MELEKCAN · SYNTAGMA · FEMALE WARRIOR · KINDBERO · HÜKÜMLÜ · PAPETTİ · HAS SERÇE · O BİR VAHŞİ · STAR OF HANDEL · PAŞOT
Sim-Race uyumu · 17 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara 1 | LAMBERHURST · NORTHERN NURDETTA · GÜÇLÜ TÜRK | GÜÇLÜ TÜRK · NORTHERN NURDETTA · CATALYST | 3 | 2/3 | 0 |
| Ankara 2 | NORTH COMMAND · LONGEVITY · İLARMALI | MYSTIC RUNNER · THUNDERSTRUCK · NORTH COMMAND | 4 | 1/3 | 5 |
| Ankara 3 | O BİR VAHŞİ · AL YELE · LEOPARDESS | O BİR VAHŞİ · LEOPARDESS · PERIWINKLE | 1 | 2/3 | 61 |
| Ankara 4 | NART THE BATTLE · GREEN EYED MEMO · LADY GROUND | FEMALE WARRIOR · GREEN EYED MEMO · ÜÇNUR | 4 | 1/3 | 32 |
| Ankara 5 | RAVENCO · BASKINSOY · ROCKSTAR | ESİNİN KIZI · RAVENCO · SÜKANBEY | 4 | 1/3 | 48 |
| Ankara 6 | HÜKÜMLÜ · BODUBEY · BERKALİ | HÜKÜMLÜ · BODUBEY · ALTINBORA | 1 | 2/3 | 41 |
| Ankara 7 | SHINNY · SYNTAGMA · PRENSES SYLVESTER | SYNTAGMA · SHINNY · PRENSES SYLVESTER | 2 | 3/3 | 60 |
| Ankara 8 | STAR OF HANDEL · LEPERUJ · DE HELE | STAR OF HANDEL · DE HELE · SUFERING | 1 | 2/3 | 36 |
| Ankara 9 | KATICESUR · ŞAFAK BEY · ŞAHLANTAY | ŞAHLANTAY · LİDERKATI · CEZZAR BEY | 3 | 1/3 | 43 |
| Diyarbakır 1 | MARDİ GRAS · VERMİTHRAX · RAND ROWER | SPEEDING BULLET · VERMİTHRAX · ÇELİ BEZA | 4 | 1/3 | 10 |
| Diyarbakır 2 | EMPRESS GIRL · MELEKCAN · TERKAN GÜZELİ | MELEKCAN · GÜLÜMSE KIZIM · EMPRESS GIRL | 2 | 2/3 | 80 |
| Diyarbakır 3 | KING FERİT · TELGRAF · NOW SEE ME | QUEEN OF VICTORY · RÜZGAR AGAH · KING FERİT | 8 | 1/3 | 2 |
| Diyarbakır 4 | EYBERK · TURBO BEYİ · AKTAŞBEYLİ | FATMA HANIM · EYBERK · TAYKUTBEY | 8 | 1/3 | 0 |
| Diyarbakır 5 | PAPETTİ · GÜMÜŞÇELİK · MERTOLTAY | PAPETTİ · GÖNÜL KALESİ · FERİTBATUR | 1 | 1/3 | 7 |
| Diyarbakır 6 | SUNFYRE · ZAEDNO · AYHAN IN MY HEART | AYHAN IN MY HEART · TORUNUM DEVRİM · SUNFYRE | 3 | 2/3 | 46 |
| İzmir 1 | TUĞRAPTAY · BERRUNAZ · KOŞDADAŞ | HIZLI TERMİNATÖR · BİTTER ÇİKOLATA · KAPTAN İRFAN | 7 | 0/3 | 15 |
| İzmir 2 | YİĞENİM NEHİR · HAS SERÇE · STORM BELLE | HAS SERÇE · YİĞENİM NEHİR · BEŞ ON SEKİZ | 2 | 2/3 | 94 |
| İzmir 3 | WIN LIKE A MAN · PAŞOT · KIZIM ÖYKÜ | PAŞOT · KIZIM ÖYKÜ · WIN LIKE A MAN | 2 | 3/3 | 40 |
| İzmir 4 | SERTTAYKUT · YILDIZTEPE · YILDIZ SULTAN | BERİVANCAN · TAM YOL · KIZIM MERYEM | 6 | 0/3 | 56 |
| İzmir 5 | SELÇUKZADE · ERGİDEN · BOZKIR RÜZGARI | DİLDA HATUN · SELÇUKZADE · BAŞ YARGIÇ | 5 | 1/3 | 55 |
| İzmir 6 | KINDBERO · ÖNALTAY · DADAKBEY | KINDBERO · SALGUR · KORGÜN | 1 | 1/3 | 67 |
| İzmir 7 | ALTINTEPE · SEMEND BATUR · GERARD | GERARD · FREE BLOOD · YEMEN RÜZGARI | 3 | 1/3 | 35 |
| İzmir 8 | TOPLUSER · TAM PAKET · MUKATOVİÇ | TOPLUSER · KALEMLİ ŞAHI · TAM PAKET | 1 | 2/3 | 58 |
| İzmir 9 | VICTOR THE BRAVE · DRAGON RUNNER · WAR STORM | WAR STORM · VICTOR THE BRAVE · SUPER BERK | 3 | 2/3 | 71 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Ankara, Diyarbakır, İzmir
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 7/24 — %29
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Ankara-K1 | LAMBERHURST · NORTHERN NURDETTA | GÜÇLÜ TÜRK | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Ankara-K2 | İLARMALI · THUNDERSTRUCK · KİNG VELİ · MYSTIC RUNNER · KING GOMEZ · NORTH COMMAND · LONGEVITY · DİONER | MYSTIC RUNNER | 4 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K3 | AL YELE · O BİR VAHŞİ | O BİR VAHŞİ | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K4 | LADY GROUND · ÜÇNUR · NART THE BATTLE · MY BLUE HEAVEN · GREEN EYED MEMO · WE ARE THE BEST · ÇEVİK VAKTİ · FEMALE WARRIOR · LAGARİ | FEMALE WARRIOR | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K5 | BASKINSOY · RAVENCO · İLBAN BEYİ · ROCKSTAR | ESİNİN KIZI | 6 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Ankara-K6 | BODUBEY · HÜKÜMLÜ | HÜKÜMLÜ | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K7 | SHINNY · SYNTAGMA | SYNTAGMA | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K8 | STAR OF HANDEL · LEPERUJ | STAR OF HANDEL | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K9 | KATICESUR · ŞAFAK BEY · MOTOR · LİDERKATI | ŞAHLANTAY | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K1 | MARDİ GRAS · RAND ROWER · VERMİTHRAX | SPEEDING BULLET | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K2 | PEARL GRAIN · MELEKCAN · TERKAN GÜZELİ · EMPRESS GIRL | MELEKCAN | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Diyarbakır-K3 | TELGRAF · SMALL BURGAZ · KING FERİT · QUEEN OF VICTORY · RÜZGAR AGAH | QUEEN OF VICTORY | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Diyarbakır-K4 | EYBERK · YARALI AKBAŞ · TURBO BEYİ · ABAY HANIM | FATMA HANIM | 6 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K5 | PAPETTİ · MERTOLTAY · GÜMÜŞÇELİK | PAPETTİ | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Diyarbakır-K6 | SUNFYRE · DARK SOUL · ZAEDNO · AYHAN IN MY HEART | AYHAN IN MY HEART | 4 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K1 | TUĞRAPTAY · BERRUNAZ · AZRAKTAY | HIZLI TERMİNATÖR | 6 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İzmir-K2 | HAS SERÇE · YİĞENİM NEHİR | HAS SERÇE | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K3 | PAŞOT · WIN LIKE A MAN · KIZIM ÖYKÜ | PAŞOT | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K4 | SERTTAYKUT · YILDIZTEPE · TAM YOL | BERİVANCAN | 8 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İzmir-K5 | ERGİDEN · SELÇUKZADE · BAŞ YARGIÇ · PISTACHIO · MRS MALİBU · OTAY · BİR ASLAN KIZI · DİLDA HATUN · BOZKIR RÜZGARI | DİLDA HATUN | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K6 | KINDBERO · ÖNALTAY · DADAKBEY · GUREGH · KAFKAS YÜREKLİ | KINDBERO | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K7 | ALTINTEPE · SEMEND BATUR | GERARD | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İzmir-K8 | TOPLUSER · TAM PAKET | TOPLUSER | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K9 | WAR STORM · VICTOR THE BRAVE · DRAGON RUNNER | WAR STORM | 4 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 16/24 — %67
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 16/24 — %67)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Ankara · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (Ankara-K1 · GÜÇLÜ TÜRK)
- Ankara · K4→K9 — 2. ayakta düştü (Ankara-K5 · ESİNİN KIZI)
- Diyarbakır · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (Diyarbakır-K1 · SPEEDING BULLET)
- İzmir · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (İzmir-K1 · HIZLI TERMİNATÖR)
- İzmir · K4→K9 — 1. ayakta düştü (İzmir-K4 · BERİVANCAN)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara-K1 | Lamberhurst | ✅ | — |
| Ankara-K2 | North Command | ✅ | — |
| Ankara-K3 | O Bi̇r Vahşi̇ | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Ankara-K4 | Female Warrior | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Ankara-K5 | Baskinsoy | ✅ | — |
| Ankara-K6 | Hükümlü | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Ankara-K7 | Shinny | ✅ | — |
| Ankara-K8 | Star Of Handel | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Ankara-K9 | Li̇derkati | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K1 | Vermi̇thrax | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K2 | Empress Girl | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K3 | Telgraf | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K4 | Eyberk | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K5 | Papetti̇ | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Diyarbakır-K6 | Sunfyre | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K1 | Koşdadaş | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| İzmir-K2 | Yi̇ğeni̇m Nehi̇r | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K3 | Win Like A Man | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K4 | Serttaykut | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K5 | Selçukzade | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K6 | Kindbero | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İzmir-K7 | Altintepe | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K8 | Kalemli̇ Şahi | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| İzmir-K9 | Victor The Brave | ✅ | — |
Bugün: AGF-1 2 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 0 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 2/4 (beklenti ~%51 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İzmir-K3 | PAŞOT | 0.6694 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | PAŞOT K DB | 2 |
| Ankara-K1 | LAMBERHURST | 0.6369 | TEK | ❌ | GÜÇLÜ TÜRK SK | 3 |
| İzmir-K2 | HAS SERÇE | 0.421 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | HAS SERÇE KG DB SK | 2 |
| Ankara-K7 | SHINNY | 0.4016 | TEK-ADAY | — | SYNTAGMA DB SK | 2 |
| Diyarbakır-K6 | SUNFYRE | 0.3916 | TEK | ⬜ | — | — |
| Ankara-K6 | BODUBEY | 0.3631 | TEK | ❌ | HÜKÜMLÜ KG DB SK | 1 |
| İzmir-K1 | TUĞRAPTAY | 0.3604 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | ✅ haklı veto | HIZLI TERMİNATÖR SK | 6 |
| Ankara-K8 | STAR OF HANDEL | 0.3594 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | STAR OF HANDEL KG SK | 1 |
| İzmir-K6 | KINDBERO | 0.3539 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | KINDBERO KG K DB | 1 |
| İzmir-K7 | ALTINTEPE | 0.3418 | BANT | — | GERARD KG K DB | 2 |
| Ankara-K9 | KATICESUR | 0.3411 | BANT | — | ŞAHLANTAY KG DB SK | 3 |
| İzmir-K9 | WAR STORM | 0.3267 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | WAR STORM DB SKG SK | 4 |
| Diyarbakır-K5 | PAPETTİ | 0.3172 | TEK-ADAY | ⬜ | — | — |
| Ankara-K3 | AL YELE | 0.2941 | BANT | — | O BİR VAHŞİ K | 1 |
| Diyarbakır-K4 | EYBERK | 0.2936 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Ankara-K5 | BASKINSOY | 0.2763 | BANT | — | ESİNİN KIZI SK | 6 |
| Diyarbakır-K1 | MARDİ GRAS | 0.2735 | VETO · DOGU-K1 | ✅ haklı veto | SPEEDING BULLET SKG SK | 4 |
| Diyarbakır-K3 | TELGRAF | 0.2697 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Ankara-K4 | LADY GROUND | 0.2642 | BANT | — | FEMALE WARRIOR DB SK | 1 |
| İzmir-K4 | SERTTAYKUT | 0.245 | BANT | — | BERİVANCAN K DB | 8 |
| İzmir-K5 | ERGİDEN | 0.2318 | VETO · PIST-DONUS | ✅ haklı veto | DİLDA HATUN KG SK | 3 |
| Ankara-K2 | THUNDERSTRUCK | 0.2001 | BANT | — | MYSTIC RUNNER DB SK | 4 |
| İzmir-K8 | TOPLUSER | 0.1904 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | TOPLUSER KG DB SK GKR | 2 |
| Diyarbakır-K2 | PEARL GRAIN | 0.1685 | BANT | — | MELEKCAN KG DB SK | 2 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 10 ayağın 2'inde aday yine kazandı (%20). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 3 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32973 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-17).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %50 (12/24) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %29 (7/24) · kör nokta 0/24
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara-K1 | GÜÇLÜ TÜRK | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Ankara-K2 | MYSTIC RUNNER | 4 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Ankara-K3 | O BİR VAHŞİ | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Ankara-K4 | FEMALE WARRIOR | 9 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Ankara-K5 | ESİNİN KIZI | 8 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Ankara-K6 | HÜKÜMLÜ | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Ankara-K7 | SYNTAGMA | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Ankara-K8 | STAR OF HANDEL | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Ankara-K9 | ŞAHLANTAY | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Diyarbakır-K1 | SPEEDING BULLET | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Diyarbakır-K2 | MELEKCAN | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Diyarbakır-K3 | QUEEN OF VICTORY | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Diyarbakır-K4 | FATMA HANIM | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Diyarbakır-K5 | PAPETTİ | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Diyarbakır-K6 | AYHAN IN MY HEART | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İzmir-K1 | HIZLI TERMİNATÖR | 7 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İzmir-K2 | HAS SERÇE | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İzmir-K3 | PAŞOT | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İzmir-K4 | BERİVANCAN | 9 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| İzmir-K5 | DİLDA HATUN | 7 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| İzmir-K6 | KINDBERO | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İzmir-K7 | GERARD | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İzmir-K8 | TOPLUSER | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İzmir-K9 | WAR STORM | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
Trend — son 30 gün
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y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M1 (bant)</text><circle cx="132" cy="250" r="3.5" fill="#2f855a"/><text x="140" y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M3 (1. sıra)</text></svg>
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">149</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="436.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="570.6" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">139</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="323.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="457.5" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">103</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="226.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="360.1" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">72</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="191.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="325.6" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">61</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="25.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="159.1" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">8</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.