🔍 POST-MORTEM

2026-09-22
🎲 gün sayfası🖋 GÖRENkurgu🏆 TEK kapısıpost-mortem🧐 yorumtüm günler
%71
M1 isabet · oynanan 12/17 ayak

TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez

Kart: Ankara, Kocaeli

🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 6/17 — %35

(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)

AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu

K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)

ayakbandımızkazananAGFsonuç
KAnkara-K1SHADOW NYX · WARRIOR BEAUTY · VOOSEKEB · CLOVE · VOOSİGYN · QUEEN IQRA · ARES GOLD · VELİYAN KIZIVELİYAN KIZI2✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K2ULUALP · İZGİOĞLUULUALP1✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K3QUEIMADA GRANDE · JAN AQUA · MELIAN THE MAIAMELIAN THE MAIA1✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K4WHISPER OF VICTORY · HAWORTHWHISPER OF VICTORY2✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K5KRAKENFENNAN10❌ KAÇTI
KAnkara-K6TARSUS ARSLANI · ÇAĞANIM · SECRET MAN · KING OF MUNZUR · SANDUHAN · CATALYST · ADANALI KIZ · RAİNY SOİL · GENERAL SHERMAN · ADANALI KIZÇAĞANIM1✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K7MELİKE · TORYUMLUTORYUMLU1✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K8DİSTİLE · SEÇİLKIZ · ATAKLI KIZ · HADEHANIM · ARZUDAR · HİVE SULTAN · SEMENDİN GÜCÜ · GÜMBÜRBERK · SEVDA MEVSİMİ · DERYADİLALÇİN SULTAN8❌ KAÇTI
KKocaeli-K1STEEL WINGS · SHUEN · MY HANDSOME · SCARRED · MY BLACK BOY · STEEL HUNTERLETS GO5❌ KAÇTI
KKocaeli-K2BALKI TAY · BAKA BABA · RİGELBAKA BABA2✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K3FORTISSIMOFORTISSIMO1✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K4AVCI OĞLUM · ORÇUNTAY · GÜROBASI YP · CANIM ÇITIR · ESİNİN KIZI · DESPOTLU · GÜNÇE KIZ · DİLAN KIZBERTUĞHAN10❌ KAÇTI
KKocaeli-K5NALDÖKEN · NOBIL BIGTIME · SINISTRA DERMAN · TORANAGANALDÖKEN6✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K6FIRE AT WILL · SUPER BERK · TIZONA · RICO PASHA · RÜZGAR UĞUR · KEÇİKHAN · ROCK FOR EVER · BY TÜRE · RICARDOROCK FOR EVER4✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K7TENACIOUS KHAN · GOLDEN PROMISE · DİPLOMAT ZAFER · SHAWSHANK · BLIZZARDTENACIOUS KHAN1✅ BANTTA
KKocaeli-K8HEVENKSERTUĞ4❌ KAÇTI
KKocaeli-K9MYSTERY BOUNTY · ŞAHİKA MARAMYSTERY BOUNTY1✅ BANTTA

M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 12/17 — %71
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)

(tüm ayaklar dahil: 12/17 — %71)

KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü

SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu

Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?

ayakAGF-1bantta mıydıkazandı mı
Ankara-K1Warrior Beauty✅—
Ankara-K2Ulualp✅🏆 KAZANDI
Ankara-K3Melian The Maia✅🏆 KAZANDI
Ankara-K4Nart The Wolf❌ DIŞARIDA—
Ankara-K5Kraken✅—
Ankara-K6Çağanim✅🏆 KAZANDI
Ankara-K7Toryumlu✅🏆 KAZANDI
Ankara-K8Sevda Mevsi̇mi̇✅—
Kocaeli-K1Steel Wings✅—
Kocaeli-K2Balki Tay✅—
Kocaeli-K3Fortissimo✅🏆 KAZANDI
Kocaeli-K4Canim Çitir✅—
Kocaeli-K5Nobil Bigtime✅—
Kocaeli-K6Tizona✅—
Kocaeli-K7Tenacious Khan✅🏆 KAZANDI
Kocaeli-K8Hevenk✅—
Kocaeli-K9Mystery Bounty✅🏆 KAZANDI

Bugün: AGF-1 1 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 0 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)

🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi

Atılan TEK: 1/3 (beklenti ~%36 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))

ayakTEKpkararsonuçkazanankazanan AGF
Ankara-K2ULUALP0.545BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)ULUALP KG SK1
Kocaeli-K3FORTISSIMO0.5059TEK✅ TUTTUFORTISSIMO DB SK1
Kocaeli-K7TENACIOUS KHAN0.4138BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)TENACIOUS KHAN SKG SK1
Kocaeli-K1STEEL WINGS0.3953VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK✅ haklı vetoLETS GO KG K DB5
Kocaeli-K8HEVENK0.3912TEK❌SERTUĞ KG DB SK4
Kocaeli-K9MYSTERY BOUNTY0.381TEK-ADAY⬜——
Kocaeli-K5NOBIL BIGTIME0.2549TEK-ADAY—NALDÖKEN SK6
Ankara-K3MELIAN THE MAIA0.2484TEK-ADAY⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)MELIAN THE MAIA DB SKG SK1
Kocaeli-K4AVCI OĞLUM0.2228BANT—BERTUĞHAN KG DB SK10
Kocaeli-K2BAKA BABA0.2039BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)BAKA BABA KG DB SK2
Ankara-K6ÇAĞANIM0.1869BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)ÇAĞANIM KG DB SK1
Ankara-K7TORYUMLU0.1753BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)TORYUMLU KG K1
Ankara-K5KRAKEN0.1748TEK❌FENNAN KG SK10
Kocaeli-K6TIZONA0.144BANT—ROCK FOR EVER SK4
Ankara-K4GECENİN ATEŞİ0.0801BANT—WHISPER OF VICTORY KG SK2
Ankara-K1VELİYAN KIZI0.058BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)VELİYAN KIZI K DB2
Ankara-K8SEVDA MEVSİMİ0.0416BANT—ALÇİN SULTAN KG K DB8

Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 10 ayağın 6'inde aday yine kazandı (%60). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.

Sert veto: 1 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md

Bu tablo TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.

🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ

Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32533 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-09-22).

Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %71 (12/17) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %35 (6/17) · kör nokta 0/17

ayakkazananorkestra sırasıteşhis
Ankara-K1VELİYAN KIZI8🔴 ceza fazla sert
Ankara-K2ULUALP1✅ sistem çalıştı
Ankara-K3MELIAN THE MAIA3🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Ankara-K4WHISPER OF VICTORY1✅ sistem çalıştı
Ankara-K5FENNAN6🟠 ağırlık düşük
Ankara-K6ÇAĞANIM2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Ankara-K7TORYUMLU2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Ankara-K8ALÇİN SULTAN12🔴 ceza fazla sert
Kocaeli-K1LETS GO4🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Kocaeli-K2BAKA BABA2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Kocaeli-K3FORTISSIMO1✅ sistem çalıştı
Kocaeli-K4BERTUĞHAN10🔴 ceza fazla sert
Kocaeli-K5NALDÖKEN1✅ sistem çalıştı
Kocaeli-K6ROCK FOR EVER7🟠 ağırlık düşük
Kocaeli-K7TENACIOUS KHAN1✅ sistem çalıştı
Kocaeli-K8SERTUĞ3🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Kocaeli-K9MYSTERY BOUNTY1✅ sistem çalıştı

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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">153</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="412.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="546.9" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">135</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="315.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="449.1" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">103</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="235.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="369.5" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">77</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="180.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="314.5" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">59</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="21.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="155.4" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">7</text></svg>

Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.

TJK Günlük · POST-MORTEM · 2026-09-22