TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Elazığ, İstanbul
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Elazığ-K1 | EMPRESS GIRL · TIME OF DREAMS | ARASIN KIZI | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K2 | GLACIUS BOREAS · EMİNÖNÜ | WAKABAYASHI | 5 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K3 | UĞUR MELEĞİ · KOSAVALI YİĞİT | ZOR ODİN | 9 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K4 | ŞUBAT BEY · DOKTOR MİRAY · DEDEBEDO · MERTENS | MERTENS | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K5 | PRENS APTİ · LORD OF KİRVE · KING RHAEGAL | ETIQUETTE | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K6 | KENT RÜZGARI · KAANHAKAN · DOĞAN KHAN · PAYİDAR KAYA · ÖZAYDIN · MELİHTAY · DUMRUL · DERBEDER ALİ · MUCİZE HAN · DEDE YALAZ | KAANHAKAN | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K7 | EUROFIGHTER · ANDROMEDA STAR · ORANGE AZURA | ANDROMEDA STAR | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K8 | SILVEN · CENTURIES VICTORY · NIGHT KING · AEMOND | ÜÇ MATRA | 13 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | TİTANESS · FIREFALL · TOMRİS HARMONY · IMMOBILIARE | IMMOBILIARE | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | TÜRKÖREN · MENDERES KIZI · CABİRE SULTAN · DİLMAKIZ | DİLMAKIZ | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | KRALKARINCA | KRALKARINCA | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | ROLLING STONE · NEMOSİS · GLOWING GRACE | GLOWING GRACE | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | VİRA · SEHER ZAMANI · GÖKAYHAN · ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER | ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | REFLECTED GLORY · PRINCE OF DARKNESS BB · MAKE A FIRE | REFLECTED GLORY | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | INCOME · QUEEN AYLA · LYARA | INCOME | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | CALEDONIE · SONG RISING · WINNER GETS IT ALL · ERKOÇUM · CUCURELLA · WE ARE THE BEST · KING OF THE WIN · LOOK NEWS · FLYING JO | LOOK NEWS | 6 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K9 | THIEF IN MARRAKESH | HEYBETLİLER | 1 | ❌ KAÇTI |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 11/17 — %65
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 11/17 — %65)
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığ-K1 | Empress Girl | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K2 | Glacius Boreas | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K3 | Uğur Meleği̇ | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K4 | Mertens | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Elazığ-K5 | Power Of Iron | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| Elazığ-K6 | Doğan Khan | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K7 | Andromeda Star | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Elazığ-K8 | Aemond | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K1 | Firefall | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | Türkören | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | Kralkarinca | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K4 | Glowing Grace | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K5 | Gökayhan | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K6 | Make A Fire | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K7 | Income | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K8 | Song Rising | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K9 | Heybetli̇ler | ❌ DIŞARIDA | 🏆 KAZANDI |
Bugün: AGF-1 2 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 1 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
Atılan TEK: 1/3 (beklenti ~%49 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığ-K5 | PRENS APTİ | 0.5234 | TEK | ❌ | ETIQUETTE DB SKG SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K3 | KRALKARINCA | 0.4871 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | KRALKARINCA K DB | 1 |
| Elazığ-K3 | UĞUR MELEĞİ | 0.4813 | TEK-ADAY | — | ZOR ODİN DB SK | 9 |
| İstanbul-K7 | INCOME | 0.464 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | INCOME DB SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K9 | THIEF IN MARRAKESH | 0.4561 | TEK | ❌ | HEYBETLİLER DB | 1 |
| Elazığ-K6 | DOĞAN KHAN | 0.4138 | BANT | — | KAANHAKAN KG SK | 2 |
| Elazığ-K1 | EMPRESS GIRL | 0.3486 | VETO · DOGU-K1 | ✅ haklı veto | ARASIN KIZI DB SKG SK | 3 |
| Elazığ-K2 | GLACIUS BOREAS | 0.3232 | BANT | — | WAKABAYASHI KG DB SK | 5 |
| İstanbul-K8 | SONG RISING | 0.2175 | BANT | — | LOOK NEWS K | 6 |
| İstanbul-K6 | PRINCE OF DARKNESS BB | 0.1586 | BANT | — | REFLECTED GLORY DB SK | 3 |
| Elazığ-K8 | CENTURIES VICTORY | 0.1486 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Elazığ-K4 | MERTENS | 0.1464 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | MERTENS DB SKG SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K2 | DİLMAKIZ | 0.1364 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | DİLMAKIZ SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K1 | TOMRİS HARMONY | 0.1295 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | ✅ haklı veto | IMMOBILIARE K | 2 |
| İstanbul-K5 | GÖKAYHAN | 0.1208 | TEK-ADAY | — | ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER KG K | 2 |
| İstanbul-K4 | GLOWING GRACE | 0.1095 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | GLOWING GRACE KG K | 1 |
| Elazığ-K7 | ANDROMEDA STAR | 0.0662 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | ANDROMEDA STAR KG DB SK | 2 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 9 ayağın 5'inde aday yine kazandı (%56). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 2 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32550 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-09-23).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %35 (6/17) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %18 (3/17) · kör nokta 1/17
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığ-K1 | ARASIN KIZI | 7 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Elazığ-K2 | WAKABAYASHI | 4 | 🔴 KÖR NOKTA |
| Elazığ-K3 | ZOR ODİN | 7 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Elazığ-K4 | MERTENS | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Elazığ-K5 | ETIQUETTE | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K6 | KAANHAKAN | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K7 | ANDROMEDA STAR | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Elazığ-K8 | ÜÇ MATRA | 15 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| İstanbul-K1 | IMMOBILIARE | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K2 | DİLMAKIZ | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K3 | KRALKARINCA | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K4 | GLOWING GRACE | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K5 | ÇİLEKEŞ ÖMER | 7 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İstanbul-K6 | REFLECTED GLORY | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K7 | INCOME | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K8 | LOOK NEWS | 8 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İstanbul-K9 | HEYBETLİLER | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
🔴 1 KÖR NOKTA bugün — motorun 9 izlenen katmanından HİÇBİRİ ateşlemedi, ama at kazandı:
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">152</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="415.7" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="549.7" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">135</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="320.2" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="454.2" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">104</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="234.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="368.0" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">76</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="184.7" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="318.7" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">60</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="21.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="155.6" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">7</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.