🔍 POST-MORTEM
3 Ekim 2026Sim-Race uyumu · 3 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara 1 | FORTUNA MAJOR · VİNİ JR · MAJESTIC BOY | FORTUNA MAJOR · BIG DIPPER · SUGAR FREE | 1 | 1/3 | 43 |
| Ankara 2 | TIME CHANGER · UNDEFEATABLE · MAGGIE BB | LAGARİ · TIME CHANGER · RACING PHANTOM | 9 | 1/3 | 57 |
| Ankara 3 | DICE MAN · MANGUDAI · FURIOUSD | MANGUDAI · FURIOUSD · JOYFUL RUNNER | 2 | 2/3 | 70 |
| Ankara 4 | PİSİFORMİS · KORGÜN · ÇANAKKALE FIRTINASI | SARAYBURNU · ÇANAKKALE FIRTINASI · KORGÜN | 7 | 2/3 | 42 |
| Ankara 5 | GÖKIRMAK · KAHRAMANOĞLU · TAŞKENT | TAHSİN SEFA · HEDBE · ATAMANBEY | 14 | 0/3 | 8 |
| Ankara 6 | KEN PARKER · YURIBOYKA · BABA OCAĞI | KEN PARKER · BABA OCAĞI · YURIBOYKA | 1 | 3/3 | 90 |
| Ankara 7 | CALL ME FREE · LORD VİDAR · SEQUOIA | NEJDET BAŞKAN · GOLDMAN · SEQUOIA | 6 | 1/3 | 0 |
| Ankara 8 | PRENS NADİR · BORN TO TRUST · KARAMAÇABEY | MY BLUE HEAVEN · BORN TO TRUST · GREEN EYED MEMO | 7 | 1/3 | 0 |
| Diyarbakır 1 | URFA KAPLANI · FERİTBATUR · GÖNÜL KALESİ | BİLDENBİR · GÖNÜL KALESİ · NARLIGÖL | 6 | 1/3 | 35 |
| Diyarbakır 2 | AL BENZE · ÇAPUTHAN · HIZLI İBRAHİM | HIZLI İBRAHİM · AL BENZE · ÇAPUTHAN | 3 | 3/3 | 78 |
| Diyarbakır 3 | DERBEDER ALİ · PRENSES DİLARA · HIZLI MEHMET | ARAPÇELİK · PRENSES DİLARA · ŞEŞENSULTANI | 8 | 1/3 | 19 |
| Diyarbakır 4 | BEYOND THE SEA · DESERT FEVER · QUEEN OF VICTORY | QUEEN OF VICTORY · TORUNUM DEVRİM · DESERT FEVER | 3 | 2/3 | 17 |
| Diyarbakır 5 | KIZIM ELAY · TORNADO MAIDEN · GOLDEN SOUL | PROMISE ME DELIGHT · GOLDEN SOUL · TORNADO MAIDEN | 10 | 2/3 | 30 |
| Diyarbakır 6 | ASİLBOY · SİRBARİ · OTTO MOYE | BY SİNANLI · ASİLBOY · AZİZOĞLUM | 6 | 1/3 | 39 |
| İzmir 1 | DRAGON RUNNER · PHANTOM STRIKE YP · DREAM FOR VICTORY | DRAGON RUNNER · AUTHORITY · PHANTOM STRIKE YP | 1 | 2/3 | 75 |
| İzmir 2 | AEGEAN POWER · CAREFULLY SELECTED · ASABİ ÇOCUK | ASABİ ÇOCUK · LEONTES · AEGEAN POWER | 3 | 2/3 | 51 |
| İzmir 3 | KOŞDADAŞ · YİĞİDİM EFE · HÜKÜMDAR KILICI | MACERAPEREST · KALEMLİ ŞAHI · ŞAHİNBATUR | 4 | 0/3 | 0 |
| İzmir 4 | GÜN IŞITAN · DEMON HUNTER · ZENG | ZENG · DEMON HUNTER · AĞAM URFALI | 3 | 2/3 | 61 |
| İzmir 5 | HAS TURBO · SHADOW GENIUS · ROLYANA | ROLYANA · SHADOW GENIUS · KUNTA | 3 | 2/3 | 38 |
| İzmir 6 | VOLPI · DISTANCE RUNNER · NORTHERN SHOT | AGE OF FIRE · FALCON OF MUTAFLAR · NORTHERN SHOT | 4 | 1/3 | 52 |
| İzmir 7 | ALTINTEPE · NEVERLAND · YEMEN RÜZGARI | ALTINTEPE · GERARD · MADEİRA | 1 | 1/3 | 48 |
| İzmir 8 | HILL OF ANGELS · DÖNEN DEVRAN · FELAKET | HILL OF ANGELS · BRAVE ARES · DÖNEN DEVRAN | 1 | 2/3 | 77 |
| İzmir 9 | SONANDA · BEŞ ON SEKİZ · BRAVE CENTURY | SONANDA · HOLY · SMYRNA POWER | 1 | 1/3 | 39 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Ankara, Diyarbakır, İzmir
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 6/23 — %26
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Ankara-K1 | VİNİ JR · FORTUNA MAJOR · IMPERATOR MAXIMUS · VLADISLAVA | FORTUNA MAJOR | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K2 | MAGGIE BB · TIME CHANGER · UNDEFEATABLE · SEQUENCE · MIDNIGHT MOVER | LAGARİ | 10 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Ankara-K3 | FURIOUSD · DICE MAN · MANGUDAI · KING GOMEZ | MANGUDAI | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K4 | İSKENDER HAN · KORGÜN · PİSİFORMİS · ÇANAKKALE FIRTINASI · GÖKAYHAN · HEYHAT · ŞANSLI ADAM · SARAYBURNU · PARSIBEY | SARAYBURNU | 7 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K5 | GÖKIRMAK · TAŞKENT · KAHRAMANOĞLU | TAHSİN SEFA | 12 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Ankara-K6 | KEN PARKER | KEN PARKER | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Ankara-K7 | CALL ME FREE · GOLDMAN · LORD VİDAR | NEJDET BAŞKAN | 5 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Ankara-K8 | BORN TO TRUST · GREEN EYED MEMO · MON BİJOU · PRENS NADİR | MY BLUE HEAVEN | 6 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K1 | FERİTBATUR · URFA KAPLANI · GÖNÜL KALESİ · ANEMOS | BİLDENBİR | 5 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K2 | AL BENZE · CİHAN BABA · RECOHAT | HIZLI İBRAHİM | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K3 | HIZLI MEHMET · DERBEDER ALİ · PRENSES DİLARA | ARAPÇELİK | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K4 | MY ARES · DESERT FEVER · ARTAX · BEYOND THE SEA · TORUNUM DEVRİM | QUEEN OF VICTORY | 1 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K5 | KIZIM ELAY · TORNADO MAIDEN · GOLDEN SOUL | PROMISE ME DELIGHT | 7 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Diyarbakır-K6 | ASİLBOY · BY SİNANLI · ADDRESS HILL ONE · ÇİKOK FIRTINASI · SİRBARİ · AZİZOĞLUM · GARGARON · LORD OF THE SEA · OTTO MOYE · AZİZOĞLUM · OTTO MOYE | BY SİNANLI | 7 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K1 | PHANTOM STRIKE YP · DRAGON RUNNER | DRAGON RUNNER | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K2 | LİVİA · AEGEAN POWER | ASABİ ÇOCUK | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İzmir-K3 | MACERAPEREST · KOŞDADAŞ | MACERAPEREST | 4 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K4 | ZENG · DEMON HUNTER · KUZEYHAN · GÜN IŞITAN · SERTTAYKUT · SANCAR EFESİ · MERTCAN TAY · AĞAM URFALI | ZENG | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K5 | HAS TURBO · SENORNO | ROLYANA | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İzmir-K6 | VOLPI | AGE OF FIRE | 5 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İzmir-K7 | ALTINTEPE · NEVERLAND · YEMEN RÜZGARI | ALTINTEPE | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K8 | HILL OF ANGELS | HILL OF ANGELS | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İzmir-K9 | SONANDA · BEŞ ON SEKİZ · LADY WARRIOR · LADY HELENE | SONANDA | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 11/23 — %48
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 11/23 — %48)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Ankara · K1→K6 — 2. ayakta düştü (Ankara-K2 · LAGARİ)
- Ankara · K3→K8 — 3. ayakta düştü (Ankara-K5 · TAHSİN SEFA)
- Diyarbakır · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (Diyarbakır-K1 · BİLDENBİR)
- İzmir · K1→K6 — 2. ayakta düştü (İzmir-K2 · ASABİ ÇOCUK)
- İzmir · K4→K9 — 2. ayakta düştü (İzmir-K5 · ROLYANA)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara-K1 | Fortuna Major | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Ankara-K2 | Undefeatable | ✅ | — |
| Ankara-K3 | Mangudai | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Ankara-K4 | Korgün | ✅ | — |
| Ankara-K5 | Gökirmak | ✅ | — |
| Ankara-K6 | Ken Parker | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Ankara-K7 | Call Me Free | ✅ | — |
| Ankara-K8 | Born To Trust | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K1 | Urfa Kaplani | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K2 | Al Benze | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K3 | Hizli Mehmet | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K4 | Queen Of Victory | ❌ DIŞARIDA | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Diyarbakır-K5 | Kizim Elay | ✅ | — |
| Diyarbakır-K6 | Address Hill One | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K1 | Dragon Runner | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İzmir-K2 | Aegean Power | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K3 | Koşdadaş | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K4 | Zeng | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İzmir-K5 | Has Turbo | ✅ | — |
| İzmir-K6 | Northern Shot | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| İzmir-K7 | Altintepe | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İzmir-K8 | Hill Of Angels | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İzmir-K9 | Sonanda | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
Bugün: AGF-1 2 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 1 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 2/4 (beklenti ~%41 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara-K6 | KEN PARKER | 0.5964 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | KEN PARKER K DB | 1 |
| İzmir-K8 | HILL OF ANGELS | 0.5124 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | HILL OF ANGELS K | 1 |
| Diyarbakır-K2 | AL BENZE | 0.474 | TEK | ❌ | HIZLI İBRAHİM KG SK | 2 |
| Ankara-K5 | GÖKIRMAK | 0.4726 | TEK-ADAY | — | TAHSİN SEFA KG K DB | 12 |
| Ankara-K7 | CALL ME FREE | 0.3703 | TEK-ADAY | — | NEJDET BAŞKAN K DB | 5 |
| Diyarbakır-K5 | KIZIM ELAY | 0.3674 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| İzmir-K7 | ALTINTEPE | 0.2866 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | ALTINTEPE KG K DB | 1 |
| İzmir-K9 | SONANDA | 0.2657 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | SONANDA SK | 1 |
| Diyarbakır-K3 | DERBEDER ALİ | 0.26 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| İzmir-K5 | HAS TURBO | 0.2595 | BANT | — | ROLYANA SK | 2 |
| Diyarbakır-K6 | ASİLBOY | 0.2478 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| İzmir-K2 | AEGEAN POWER | 0.2478 | BANT | — | ASABİ ÇOCUK KG SK | 4 |
| Diyarbakır-K1 | URFA KAPLANI | 0.1999 | VETO · DOGU-K1 | ✅ haklı veto | BİLDENBİR KG DB SK | 5 |
| Ankara-K4 | PİSİFORMİS | 0.1881 | BANT | — | SARAYBURNU KG K | 7 |
| İzmir-K3 | KOŞDADAŞ | 0.1789 | TEK-ADAY | — | MACERAPEREST KG DB SK | 4 |
| Ankara-K2 | TIME CHANGER | 0.1639 | BANT | — | LAGARİ DB SK | 10 |
| İzmir-K1 | DRAGON RUNNER | 0.1609 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | 🔴 YANLIŞ VETO | DRAGON RUNNER KG DB SK | 1 |
| Ankara-K3 | DICE MAN | 0.1538 | BANT | — | MANGUDAI K | 1 |
| Ankara-K1 | FORTUNA MAJOR | 0.1437 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | FORTUNA MAJOR DB | 1 |
| Ankara-K8 | PRENS NADİR | 0.1291 | BANT | — | MY BLUE HEAVEN K | 6 |
| İzmir-K4 | GÜN IŞITAN | 0.1285 | BANT | — | ZENG KG DB | 1 |
| Diyarbakır-K4 | BEYOND THE SEA | 0.1159 | TEK-ADAY | ⬜ | — | — |
| İzmir-K6 | VOLPI | 0.043 | TEK | ❌ | AGE OF FIRE SK | 5 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 10 ayağın 3'inde aday yine kazandı (%30). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 2 ayakta tetiklendi, 1'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32728 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-03).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %43 (10/23) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %26 (6/23) · kör nokta 0/23
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ankara-K1 | FORTUNA MAJOR | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Ankara-K2 | LAGARİ | 7 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Ankara-K3 | MANGUDAI | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Ankara-K4 | SARAYBURNU | 8 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Ankara-K5 | TAHSİN SEFA | 14 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Ankara-K6 | KEN PARKER | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Ankara-K7 | NEJDET BAŞKAN | 7 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Ankara-K8 | MY BLUE HEAVEN | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Diyarbakır-K1 | BİLDENBİR | 7 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Diyarbakır-K2 | HIZLI İBRAHİM | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Diyarbakır-K3 | ARAPÇELİK | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Diyarbakır-K4 | QUEEN OF VICTORY | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Diyarbakır-K5 | PROMISE ME DELIGHT | 6 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Diyarbakır-K6 | BY SİNANLI | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İzmir-K1 | DRAGON RUNNER | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İzmir-K2 | ASABİ ÇOCUK | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İzmir-K3 | MACERAPEREST | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İzmir-K4 | ZENG | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İzmir-K5 | ROLYANA | 12 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| İzmir-K6 | AGE OF FIRE | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İzmir-K7 | ALTINTEPE | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İzmir-K8 | HILL OF ANGELS | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İzmir-K9 | SONANDA | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
Trend — son 30 gün
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">157</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="366.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="500.6" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">123</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="333.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="467.9" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">112</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="226.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="360.5" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">76</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="178.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="312.9" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">60</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="14.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="148.9" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">5</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.