🔍 POST-MORTEM
5 Ekim 2026Günün kazananları · 5 Ekim 2026
HİFA GÜZELİ · THAT BEATS ALL · ZİNAMIN · APOLLO MAXIMUS · LORD OF THE BLACK · ADARYAM · LADY SEVGİ · SHUEN · ÖMERİNOĞLU · ÇİĞDEMGELİN · GÜLNARLI · USLU TAY · BERKALİ · KAŞIKÇIBEYİ · LA BOMBONERA · PERLA PURA · LION OF THE NORTH
Sim-Race uyumu · 5 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa 1 | GÜLNARLI · İZOTOP · BALKIZIM | GÜLNARLI · GÜZEL ELAM · İZOTOP | 1 | 2/3 | 74 |
| Bursa 2 | ME AND THE DEVIL · PERLA PURA · QUEEN ERİNÖZ | PERLA PURA · ME AND THE DEVIL · QUEEN ERİNÖZ | 2 | 3/3 | 89 |
| Bursa 3 | DİLHUN · PELİTSIRTI · DİSTİLE | ZİNAMIN · MÜRDÜN KIZ · DİLHUN | 9 | 1/3 | 20 |
| Bursa 4 | DIVINE SON · BOREAL · MY LIFE FIRE | APOLLO MAXIMUS · MY DEAR DREAM · ESTOCADE | 7 | 0/3 | 45 |
| Bursa 5 | AYGEZEN · ONBİR · LADY SEVGİ | LADY SEVGİ · ONBİR · NİLPERİ | 3 | 2/3 | 73 |
| Bursa 6 | LA BOMBONERA · CHUMLEE · MAMBA FOREVER | LA BOMBONERA · CALEDONIE · YAMATAİ | 1 | 1/3 | 36 |
| Bursa 7 | UÇAN DULO · NİLÜFER · İCLAL HANIM | HİFA GÜZELİ · LEMİKIZ · BANGU | 10 | 0/3 | 41 |
| Bursa 8 | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ · EMİRENES · SANCAKALAN | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ · HAVZALI · SANCAKALAN | 1 | 2/3 | 39 |
| Şanlıurfa 1 | GÜLÜMSE KIZIM · TERKAN GÜZELİ · ADDISON | ADARYAM · ADDISON · MELEKCAN | 5 | 1/3 | 37 |
| Şanlıurfa 2 | LION OF THE NORTH · LOVESICK GRILS · DAUGHTER OF VICTOR | LION OF THE NORTH · LOVESICK GRILS · TEPEKIZI | 1 | 2/3 | 83 |
| Şanlıurfa 3 | PEARL GRAIN · QUEEN IQRA · MONSTERA | SHUEN · SNOWDRIFT · AGRESİF LADY | 6 | 0/3 | 31 |
| Şanlıurfa 4 | ÇİĞDEMGELİN · FİRİYOZA · SON KRALİÇE | ÇİĞDEMGELİN · FİRİYOZA · SON KRALİÇE | 1 | 3/3 | 78 |
| Şanlıurfa 5 | ÇUKUROVA PEHLİVANI · BLOODSHOT · ÜÇ MATRA | THAT BEATS ALL · BLOODSHOT · DARK SOUL | 9 | 1/3 | 18 |
| Şanlıurfa 6 | HAÇIM · BEYAZITHAN · GOLDEN RACER | LORD OF THE BLACK · TOUCH OF HEAVEN · RAND ROWER | 10 | 0/3 | 25 |
| Şanlıurfa 7 | USLU TAY · ALTIN GÖR · MINISTER GIRL | USLU TAY · MINISTER GIRL · SHARPSHAH | 1 | 2/3 | 25 |
| Şanlıurfa 8 | BERKALİ · HUN DAY · KOEMAN | BERKALİ · KOEMAN · PİRNAZIN KIZI | 1 | 2/3 | 70 |
| Şanlıurfa 9 | ÖMERİNOĞLU · YENAL · HAMDİ AĞA | ÖMERİNOĞLU · KRALDOĞAN · UMUDUM DENİZ | 1 | 1/3 | 33 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Bursa, Şanlıurfa
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 7/17 — %41
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Bursa-K1 | GÜLNARLI · İZOTOP | GÜLNARLI | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K2 | PERLA PURA · ME AND THE DEVIL | PERLA PURA | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K3 | PELİTSIRTI · SEMRAKAYA · DİSTİLE · KOPUK UÇURTMA · ALLER GÜLÜ · ZİNAMIN · DİLHUN · SÜTLİMAN · MÜRDÜN KIZ | ZİNAMIN | 9 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K4 | DIVINE SON | APOLLO MAXIMUS | 6 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Bursa-K5 | LADY SEVGİ · AYGEZEN · ESENPINAR | LADY SEVGİ | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K6 | CHUMLEE · LA BOMBONERA · LA BOMBONERA | LA BOMBONERA | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K7 | UÇAN DULO · İCLAL HANIM · NİLÜFER | HİFA GÜZELİ | 9 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Bursa-K8 | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K1 | TERKAN GÜZELİ · HEART SHOT · ADARYAM · GÜLÜMSE KIZIM | ADARYAM | 5 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K2 | LION OF THE NORTH · LOVESICK GRILS · TEPEKIZI | LION OF THE NORTH | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K3 | MONSTERA · PEARL GRAIN · QUEEN IQRA | SHUEN | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K4 | SON KRALİÇE · FİRİYOZA · ÇİĞDEMGELİN · BUZ KRALİÇESİ | ÇİĞDEMGELİN | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K5 | ÇUKUROVA PEHLİVANI · THAT BEATS ALL · TALENTED HERO · KAROZBEY · MISS İDİL · QUERCYNOIS · FESTIVAL BOUND · AYHAN IN MY HEART · ÜÇ MATRA · BLOODSHOT · ZAEDNO · TEK OZANIM | THAT BEATS ALL | 9 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K6 | HAÇIM · GOLDEN RACER · LORD OF THE BLACK | LORD OF THE BLACK | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K7 | USLU TAY · MINISTER GIRL · ALTIN GÖR | USLU TAY | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K8 | PİRNAZIN KIZI · BERKALİ · BİLDENCAN · ATEŞKARTAL | BERKALİ | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Şanlıurfa-K9 | HAMDİ AĞA · ÖMERİNOĞLU · BELALI CİBEK | ÖMERİNOĞLU | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 14/17 — %82
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 14/17 — %82)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Bursa · K1→K6 — 4. ayakta düştü (Bursa-K4 · APOLLO MAXIMUS)
- Bursa · K3→K8 — 2. ayakta düştü (Bursa-K4 · APOLLO MAXIMUS)
- Şanlıurfa · K1→K6 — 3. ayakta düştü (Şanlıurfa-K3 · SHUEN)
- Şanlıurfa · K4→K9 — 🎉 TÜM AYAKLAR TUTTU
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa-K1 | Gülnarli | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Bursa-K2 | Perla Pura | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Bursa-K3 | Di̇lhun | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K4 | Divine Son | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K5 | Aygezen | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K6 | Chumlee | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K7 | Uçan Dulo | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K8 | Kaşikçibeyi̇ | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Şanlıurfa-K1 | Gülümse Kizim | ✅ | — |
| Şanlıurfa-K2 | Lion Of The North | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Şanlıurfa-K3 | Queen Iqra | ✅ | — |
| Şanlıurfa-K4 | Çi̇ğdemgeli̇n | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Şanlıurfa-K5 | Çukurova Pehli̇vani | ✅ | — |
| Şanlıurfa-K6 | Haçim | ✅ | — |
| Şanlıurfa-K7 | Uslu Tay | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Şanlıurfa-K8 | Berkali̇ | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Şanlıurfa-K9 | Ömeri̇noğlu | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 1/3 (beklenti ~%31 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa-K1 | GÜLNARLI | 0.4704 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | 🔴 YANLIŞ VETO | GÜLNARLI KG | 1 |
| Bursa-K2 | ME AND THE DEVIL | 0.4586 | BANT | — | PERLA PURA K DB | 1 |
| Şanlıurfa-K2 | LION OF THE NORTH | 0.4564 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | LION OF THE NORTH SKG SK | 1 |
| Bursa-K8 | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ | 0.4521 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ KG DB SK | 1 |
| Şanlıurfa-K6 | HAÇIM | 0.4515 | TEK | ❌ | LORD OF THE BLACK DB SKG SK | 3 |
| Bursa-K6 | CHUMLEE | 0.4365 | TEK-ADAY | — | LA BOMBONERA KG K DB ÖG | 1 |
| Bursa-K7 | UÇAN DULO | 0.3538 | BANT | — | HİFA GÜZELİ KG K DB | 9 |
| Şanlıurfa-K8 | BERKALİ | 0.2635 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | BERKALİ KG K | 1 |
| Şanlıurfa-K9 | ÖMERİNOĞLU | 0.2567 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Şanlıurfa-K7 | USLU TAY | 0.2556 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | USLU TAY KG DB SK | 1 |
| Şanlıurfa-K4 | ÇİĞDEMGELİN | 0.2452 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | ÇİĞDEMGELİN KG K | 1 |
| Şanlıurfa-K3 | PEARL GRAIN | 0.1427 | BANT | — | SHUEN KG SK | 4 |
| Şanlıurfa-K1 | GÜLÜMSE KIZIM | 0.0846 | VETO · DOGU-K1 | ✅ haklı veto | ADARYAM KG SK | 5 |
| Bursa-K3 | DİLHUN | 0.0528 | BANT | — | ZİNAMIN KG SK | 9 |
| Bursa-K5 | AYGEZEN | 0.0528 | BANT | — | LADY SEVGİ KG DB SK | 3 |
| Bursa-K4 | DIVINE SON | 0.0223 | TEK | ❌ | APOLLO MAXIMUS DB SK | 6 |
| Şanlıurfa-K5 | BLOODSHOT | 0.0101 | BANT | — | THAT BEATS ALL K DB | 9 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 8 ayağın 2'inde aday yine kazandı (%25). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 2 ayakta tetiklendi, 1'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32763 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-05).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %71 (12/17) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %41 (7/17) · kör nokta 0/17
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa-K1 | GÜLNARLI | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Bursa-K2 | PERLA PURA | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Bursa-K3 | ZİNAMIN | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Bursa-K4 | APOLLO MAXIMUS | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Bursa-K5 | LADY SEVGİ | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Bursa-K6 | LA BOMBONERA | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Bursa-K7 | HİFA GÜZELİ | 8 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Bursa-K8 | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Şanlıurfa-K1 | ADARYAM | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Şanlıurfa-K2 | LION OF THE NORTH | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Şanlıurfa-K3 | SHUEN | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Şanlıurfa-K4 | ÇİĞDEMGELİN | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Şanlıurfa-K5 | THAT BEATS ALL | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Şanlıurfa-K6 | LORD OF THE BLACK | 11 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Şanlıurfa-K7 | USLU TAY | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Şanlıurfa-K8 | BERKALİ | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Şanlıurfa-K9 | ÖMERİNOĞLU | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
Trend — son 30 gün
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🔧 Haftalık katman çarpanı — Pazartesi tetiği
ambar 312531 at-koşusu · 1853 gün · TRAIN <2026-08-07 (301217) · TEST >=2026-08-07 (11314)
KAĞIT lift TRAIN=1.660(n=64422) TEST=1.516(n=2209) → çarpan 1.375→1.387 [guncellendi]
IŞIK lift TRAIN=1.459(n=81912) TEST=1.434(n=2859) → çarpan 1.375→1.387 [guncellendi]
H2H lift TRAIN=1.375(n=84270) TEST=1.384(n=3083) → çarpan 1.375→1.380 [guncellendi]
MERCEK lift TRAIN=1.174(n=99801) TEST=1.146(n=3977) → çarpan 1.122→1.134 [guncellendi]
ANTRENÖR lift TRAIN=1.021(n=187794) TEST=1.027(n=7040) → çarpan 1.048→1.038 [guncellendi]
JOKEY lift TRAIN=1.238(n=15430) TEST=1.425(n=2847) → çarpan 1.350→1.375 [guncellendi]
İDMAN lift TRAIN=—(n=0) TEST=—(n=0) → çarpan 1.000→1.000 [atlandi-veri-yok]
BARİYER lift TRAIN=0.918(n=5590) TEST=0.795(n=316) → çarpan 1.000→0.898 [guncellendi]
OK /home/tjk/TJK-Vault/05-Engine/ORKESTRA-AGIRLIK.json
OK /home/tjk/TJK-Vault/05-Engine/ORKESTRA-AGIRLIK-LOG.mdTam detay: 05-Engine/ORKESTRA-AGIRLIK-LOG.md · 05-Engine/ORKESTRA-AGIRLIK.json
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.