🔍 POST-MORTEM
13 Ekim 2026Günün kazananları · 13 Ekim 2026
ÇEŞMEBAŞI YP · RHINE FALLS · ALL FIRST · İCRA · VELİYAN KIZI · GÜZEL DEFNE · PRENSES ŞEYMA · UNDEFEATABLE · LORD OF YILDIZER · BALKI TAY · BEMBEYAZ ADAM · REFLECTED GLORY · KOCAEFE · AĞA SABRİNİN ZAFERİ · FORTISSIMO · THUNDER HORSE · KONAKLI
Sim-Race uyumu · 13 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana 1 | KOCAEFE · KAYALARIN ŞAHI · TUNÇDAĞ | KOCAEFE · ORÇUNTAY · KAYALARIN ŞAHI | 1 | 2/3 | 69 |
| Adana 2 | BEMBEYAZ ADAM · KURT BAKIŞLI · HANKAN | BEMBEYAZ ADAM · SÜPER NİL · KURT BAKIŞLI | 1 | 2/3 | 54 |
| Adana 3 | TORYUMLU · LADY BROWN · VELİYAN KIZI | VELİYAN KIZI · LADY BROWN · AMORES | 3 | 2/3 | 54 |
| Adana 4 | THUNDER HORSE · ASLAN SAİM · BORGA | THUNDER HORSE · AKIN BEYLİ · BORGA | 1 | 2/3 | 82 |
| Adana 5 | GÜZEL DEFNE · KOYUNEVİ ASLANI · HAYATA İNAT GÜLÜMSE | GÜZEL DEFNE · MALATYA ÇAPKINI · KIR ZİNCİRLERİNİ | 1 | 1/3 | 42 |
| Adana 6 | SERPENÇE · ÖZGÜNVERA · UMUTSER | ÇEŞMEBAŞI YP · ÖZGÜNVERA · GONDAR | 5 | 1/3 | 52 |
| Adana 7 | GÖK BERK · REFLECTED GLORY · RİYAKAR | REFLECTED GLORY · GÖK BERK · RİYAKAR | 2 | 3/3 | 73 |
| Adana 8 | AĞA SABRİNİN ZAFERİ · ARKANBERK · UTKANBEY | AĞA SABRİNİN ZAFERİ · KATI HANIM · ASTAKOS | 1 | 1/3 | 65 |
| Adana 9 | FRÜHLİNG · QUEEN SEÇİL · LEADER TULIP | RHINE FALLS · LEADER TULIP · QUEEN SEÇİL | 8 | 2/3 | 82 |
| Kocaeli 1 | LORD OF YILDIZER · TIZONA · I RO | LORD OF YILDIZER · OBRADA · BODE A WINNER | 1 | 1/3 | 76 |
| Kocaeli 2 | BALKI TAY · BAKA BABA · RİGEL | BALKI TAY · BERTUĞHAN · AĞA TALİP | 1 | 1/3 | 32 |
| Kocaeli 3 | İCRA · EL ALACRAN · MERCİA | İCRA · MERCİA · CROWN OF HONOR | 1 | 2/3 | 52 |
| Kocaeli 4 | SEMENDİN OĞLU · SER ŞÖVALYE · DAMLA SUYU | KONAKLI · AL SEHER · SEMENDİN GÜCÜ | 8 | 0/3 | 42 |
| Kocaeli 5 | DRAGON FURIOUS · MY BLACK BOY · CAPRENO | ALL FIRST · DRAGON FURIOUS · EL QUIQUE | 9 | 1/3 | 57 |
| Kocaeli 6 | PRENSES ŞEYMA · NOBIL BIGTIME · HASTA FINAL | PRENSES ŞEYMA · HASTA FINAL · NOBIL BIGTIME | 1 | 3/3 | 80 |
| Kocaeli 7 | FORTISSIMO · LETS GO · RAPID SHOT | FORTISSIMO · BRAVE ATHENA · RAPID SHOT | 1 | 2/3 | 30 |
| Kocaeli 8 | NO MORE SORROW · LEGACY OF HENRY · ARSLAN KAN | UNDEFEATABLE · ŞAHİKA MARA · PRINCE OF THE SUN | 4 | 0/3 | 16 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Adana, Kocaeli
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 5/17 — %29
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Adana-K1 | KOCAEFE · KADER GÜCÜ · ALİMENDER · KAYALARIN ŞAHI | KOCAEFE | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K2 | BEMBEYAZ ADAM · KURT BAKIŞLI · HANKAN · HANKAN · ETİHAN | BEMBEYAZ ADAM | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K3 | TORYUMLU · AMORES | VELİYAN KIZI | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K4 | THUNDER HORSE · SIR AT | THUNDER HORSE | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K5 | GÜZEL DEFNE · KOYUNEVİ ASLANI · YAĞMUR ECE | GÜZEL DEFNE | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K6 | GONDAR · SERPENÇE · ÖZGÜNVERA | ÇEŞMEBAŞI YP | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K7 | GÖRKEM KAPTAN · GÖK BERK | REFLECTED GLORY | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K8 | ARKANBERK · UTKANBEY · ABADBEY · AĞA SABRİNİN ZAFERİ | AĞA SABRİNİN ZAFERİ | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K9 | PRENSES BELBUS · QUEEN SEÇİL · DEEP GIRL · PRINCESS BALA · MALCOOBA · LEADER TULIP · RHINE FALLS · YOU AND ME · FRÜHLİNG · LUCKY ANGEL · PRENSES MAVİŞ · RHINE FALLS | RHINE FALLS | 4 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Kocaeli-K1 | LORD OF YILDIZER · TIZONA · FOR YURDABAK · MEGA LOVE | LORD OF YILDIZER | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Kocaeli-K2 | BAKA BABA · BALKI TAY · RİGEL | BALKI TAY | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Kocaeli-K3 | MYSTERY BOUNTY · İCRA | İCRA | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Kocaeli-K4 | SEMENDİN OĞLU · HAS TARKAN · KONAKLI · SAFDERUN OĞLU · SEMENDİN GÜCÜ · SER ŞÖVALYE · AL SEHER · DAMLA SUYU · ERSELEFE | KONAKLI | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Kocaeli-K5 | CAPRENO · HARD DRINK · MY BLACK BOY · DRAGON FURIOUS · ALL FIRST · WAIT FOR ME | ALL FIRST | 6 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Kocaeli-K6 | NOBIL BIGTIME · PRENSES ŞEYMA | PRENSES ŞEYMA | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Kocaeli-K7 | LETS GO · FORTISSIMO | FORTISSIMO | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Kocaeli-K8 | NO MORE SORROW · LEGACY OF HENRY · ARSLAN KAN · UNDEFEATABLE · FINALLY IDYLL · PRINCE OF THE SUN | UNDEFEATABLE | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 14/17 — %82
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 14/17 — %82)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Adana · K1→K6 — 3. ayakta düştü (Adana-K3 · VELİYAN KIZI)
- Adana · K4→K9 — 3. ayakta düştü (Adana-K6 · ÇEŞMEBAŞI YP)
- Kocaeli · K1→K6 — 🎉 TÜM AYAKLAR TUTTU
- Kocaeli · K3→K8 — 🎉 TÜM AYAKLAR TUTTU
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | Kocaefe | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K2 | Bembeyaz Adam | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K3 | Toryumlu | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K4 | Thunder Horse | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K5 | Güzel Defne | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K6 | Özgünvera | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K7 | Gök Berk | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K8 | Ağa Sabri̇ni̇n Zaferi̇ | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K9 | Frühli̇ng | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K1 | Lord Of Yildizer | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Kocaeli-K2 | Balki Tay | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Kocaeli-K3 | Mystery Bounty | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K4 | Konakli | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Kocaeli-K5 | Dragon Furious | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K6 | Nobil Bigtime | ✅ | — |
| Kocaeli-K7 | Fortissimo | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Kocaeli-K8 | No More Sorrow | ✅ | — |
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 0/3 (beklenti ~%49 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K3 | TORYUMLU | 0.5673 | TEK | ❌ | VELİYAN KIZI K DB | 2 |
| Kocaeli-K2 | BAKA BABA | 0.5436 | TEK | ❌ | BALKI TAY KG DB | 1 |
| Kocaeli-K7 | LETS GO | 0.4696 | TEK-ADAY | — | FORTISSIMO DB SK | 1 |
| Adana-K2 | BEMBEYAZ ADAM | 0.43 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | BEMBEYAZ ADAM KG K | 1 |
| Kocaeli-K8 | NO MORE SORROW | 0.3757 | TEK | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K8 | ARKANBERK | 0.3627 | TEK | ❌ | AĞA SABRİNİN ZAFERİ KG K | 1 |
| Adana-K7 | GÖRKEM KAPTAN | 0.3597 | VETO · PIST-DONUS | ✅ haklı veto | REFLECTED GLORY DB SK | 2 |
| Kocaeli-K1 | LORD OF YILDIZER | 0.3276 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | LORD OF YILDIZER KG K DB | 1 |
| Adana-K5 | KIR ZİNCİRLERİNİ | 0.3155 | TEK-ADAY | — | GÜZEL DEFNE KG DB SK GKR | 1 |
| Adana-K9 | PRENSES BELBUS | 0.314 | BANT | — | RHINE FALLS DB SK | 4 |
| Adana-K1 | KOCAEFE | 0.3133 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | 🔴 YANLIŞ VETO | KOCAEFE KG K | 1 |
| Kocaeli-K5 | CAPRENO | 0.303 | BANT | — | ALL FIRST DB SKG SK | 6 |
| Adana-K4 | THUNDER HORSE | 0.2862 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | THUNDER HORSE SKG SK | 1 |
| Adana-K6 | GONDAR | 0.2406 | BANT | — | ÇEŞMEBAŞI K YP | 4 |
| Kocaeli-K3 | MYSTERY BOUNTY | 0.2315 | BANT | — | İCRA DB SK | 2 |
| Kocaeli-K4 | SEMENDİN OĞLU | 0.211 | BANT | — | KONAKLI KG SK | 1 |
| Kocaeli-K6 | NOBIL BIGTIME | 0.2034 | BANT | — | PRENSES ŞEYMA | 2 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 7 ayağın 1'inde aday yine kazandı (%14). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 2 ayakta tetiklendi, 1'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32907 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-13).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %65 (11/17) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %29 (5/17) · kör nokta 1/17
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | KOCAEFE | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K2 | BEMBEYAZ ADAM | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K3 | VELİYAN KIZI | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Adana-K4 | THUNDER HORSE | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K5 | GÜZEL DEFNE | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K6 | ÇEŞMEBAŞI YP | 9 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Adana-K7 | REFLECTED GLORY | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K8 | AĞA SABRİNİN ZAFERİ | 10 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Adana-K9 | RHINE FALLS | 11 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Kocaeli-K1 | LORD OF YILDIZER | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Kocaeli-K2 | BALKI TAY | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Kocaeli-K3 | İCRA | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Kocaeli-K4 | KONAKLI | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Kocaeli-K5 | ALL FIRST | 6 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Kocaeli-K6 | PRENSES ŞEYMA | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Kocaeli-K7 | FORTISSIMO | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Kocaeli-K8 | UNDEFEATABLE | 8 | 🔴 KÖR NOKTA |
🔴 1 KÖR NOKTA bugün — motorun 9 izlenen katmanından HİÇBİRİ ateşlemedi, ama at kazandı:
- UNDEFEATABLE (Kocaeli-K8, kadro 16) — hiç sinyal yok. "o atta ne vardı?" sorusu — yeni sinyal adayı ara.
Trend — son 30 gün
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">155</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="407.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="541.6" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">135</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="298.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="432.9" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">99</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="217.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="351.4" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">72</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="199.3" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="333.3" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">66</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="21.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="155.1" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">7</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.