🔍 POST-MORTEM
16 Ekim 2026Günün kazananları · 16 Ekim 2026
VENUS DOOM · TAYYAR BEY · DORUKBATUR · SİYAH KUŞ · NAERYS · DERBY WARRIOR · WHIZBANG · SOMEWHAT CLOUDY
Sim-Race uyumu · 16 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul 1 | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY · TOUCH THE MAGIC · ATOMIC ANT | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY · SECRET OF DRAGON · TOUCH THE MAGIC | 1 | 2/3 | 40 |
| İstanbul 2 | AYTOR (IRE) · ALWAYS ON · DERBY WARRIOR | DERBY WARRIOR · ALWAYS ON · LIFE CHANGER | 3 | 2/3 | 50 |
| İstanbul 3 | NAERYS · ACOUSTIC SONG · CALEDONIE | NAERYS · KARA THRACE · MARISCAL BB | 1 | 1/3 | 41 |
| İstanbul 4 | DAŞ FATİH · SİYAH KUŞ · ALDA GÖR | SİYAH KUŞ · BABA ZAMAN · ASİL MİR | 2 | 1/3 | 69 |
| İstanbul 5 | SERHUNEFE · DORUKBATUR · KEŞHANLI | DORUKBATUR · CESURSOY · YEŞİLKAYA | 2 | 1/3 | 50 |
| İstanbul 6 | WHIZBANG · AMAZING TOUCH · TONBİ | WHIZBANG · AMAZING TOUCH · SUBUTAI | 1 | 2/3 | 83 |
| İstanbul 7 | KOKO LOKO · FINALLY ITS TIME · NEJDET BAŞKAN | VENUS DOOM · KOKO LOKO · MR HERMES | 5 | 1/3 | 17 |
| İstanbul 8 | SERDENİZ · TAHAYYÜL · TAYYAR BEY | TAYYAR BEY · HAYALİNOĞLU · GÜMBÜRHAN | 3 | 1/3 | 53 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Bursa, İstanbul
⛔ KART İPTAL: Bursa — bu şehrin ayakları sayılmaz (kaynak
07-Data/KART-IPTAL.csv).
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 3/8 — %38
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Bursa-K1 | DAKAPO · KAŞİF KAPTAN · KÖSTENCELİ BEY · TRUST MY POWER · COLLECTOR MAN | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağmur |
| K | Bursa-K2 | SUFLE · KAŞIKÇIBEYİ · BARBUDA · ŞAH DRAGON | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağmur |
| K | Bursa-K3 | RAYMOND BABBITT · WADRON · DIVINE SON | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağmur |
| K | Bursa-K4 | KALKÜTA · THE RAPTOR | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağmur |
| K | Bursa-K5 | AFTER BURNER · GOLDEN SNOW · DRAGON BORA | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağmur |
| K | Bursa-K6 | KARAGÜRGEN · STARCAN · CAVİDANCAN · DEĞERBİLİR · GÖKDİL · LİNAM · DADY · BALA SULTAN | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — yağmur |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | KEJE · SOMEWHAT CLOUDY · ATOMIC ANT · TOUCH THE MAGIC | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | ALWAYS ON · DERBY WARRIOR · AYTOR (IRE) | DERBY WARRIOR | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | NAERYS · ACOUSTIC SONG | NAERYS | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | DAŞ FATİH · SİYAH KUŞ · ULUARAT · BABA ZAMAN · KAFKAESQUE · ALDA GÖR · MAHMUT USTA · GÜROBASI YP | SİYAH KUŞ | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | DORUKBATUR · SERHUNEFE | DORUKBATUR | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | WHIZBANG · AMAZING TOUCH | WHIZBANG | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | NEJDET BAŞKAN · KOKO LOKO | VENUS DOOM | 6 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | CABİRE SULTAN · SERDENİZ · TAHAYYÜL · KRAL YAZICI · GÜMBÜRHAN · MENDERES KIZI · ÇELİK ABİ · KALEM KIRAN · TAYYAR BEY | TAYYAR BEY | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 7/8 — %88
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 7/8 — %88)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Bursa · K1→K6 — ⏳ HENÜZ TAMAMLANMADI (0/6 ayak sonuçlandı, hiç koşulmadı)
- İstanbul · K1→K6 — 🎉 TÜM AYAKLAR TUTTU
- İstanbul · K3→K8 — 5. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K7 · VENUS DOOM)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul-K1 | Somewhat Cloudy | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K2 | Aytor (Ire) | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | Naerys | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K4 | Daş Fati̇h | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | Serhunefe | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K6 | Whizbang | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K7 | Koko Loko | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K8 | Tahayyül | ✅ | — |
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 0/2 (beklenti ~%54 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul-K6 | WHIZBANG | 0.6459 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | WHIZBANG K | 1 |
| İstanbul-K1 | KEJE | 0.5507 | TEK | ❌ | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY DB SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K7 | NEJDET BAŞKAN | 0.5195 | TEK | ❌ | VENUS DOOM KG SK | 6 |
| Bursa-K5 | AFTER BURNER | 0.3932 | TEK-ADAY | ⬜ | KART İPTAL | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | DORUKBATUR | 0.3739 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | DORUKBATUR KG K | 2 |
| İstanbul-K3 | NAERYS | 0.3567 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | NAERYS SKG SK | 1 |
| Bursa-K6 | KARAGÜRGEN | 0.3516 | TEK | ⬜ | KART İPTAL | — |
| Bursa-K3 | RAYMOND BABBITT | 0.3468 | BANT | ⬜ | KART İPTAL | — |
| Bursa-K4 | KALKÜTA | 0.3342 | BANT | ⬜ | KART İPTAL | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | ALWAYS ON | 0.2952 | BANT | — | DERBY WARRIOR DB SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K8 | CABİRE SULTAN | 0.2909 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| İstanbul-K4 | DAŞ FATİH | 0.268 | BANT | — | SİYAH KUŞ KG DB SK | 3 |
| Bursa-K1 | DAKAPO | 0.2594 | BANT | ⬜ | KART İPTAL | — |
| Bursa-K2 | SUFLE | 0.2229 | BANT | ⬜ | KART İPTAL | — |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 4 ayağın 2'inde aday yine kazandı (%50). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32949 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-16).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %75 (6/8) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %38 (3/8) · kör nokta 0/8
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul-K1 | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K2 | DERBY WARRIOR | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K3 | NAERYS | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K4 | SİYAH KUŞ | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K5 | DORUKBATUR | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K6 | WHIZBANG | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K7 | VENUS DOOM | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K8 | TAYYAR BEY | 15 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
Trend — son 30 gün
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">150</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="427.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="561.4" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">137</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="312.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="446.0" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">100</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="215.3" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="349.3" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">69</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="187.2" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="321.2" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">60</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="28.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="162.1" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">9</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.