🔍 POST-MORTEM
18 Ekim 2026Günün kazananları · 18 Ekim 2026
MON BİJOU · EFRUZKIZI · ALMUTANABİY · DRAGON BLUE · LADY TATMAR · CANMERT · LİSENDORA · WARRIOR POINTE · ÇERKES ENVER · AZERBAYCANLI · BALDWIN · COOGER FIRE · MY EAGLE · NALÇAKAN BEY · ORBITAL FLAME · ÖZMEN BEY
Sim-Race uyumu · 18 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana 1 | MY EAGLE · BOZALAN · PİSİFORMİS | MY EAGLE · BOZALAN · PİSİFORMİS | 1 | 3/3 | 74 |
| Adana 2 | RÜZGARSU · TABİP BEY · ÖZGÜNALP | CANMERT · TABİP BEY · BAY ARAZ | 4 | 1/3 | 63 |
| Adana 3 | KARPOT AROB · LADY TATMAR · BORSACI BABA | LADY TATMAR · EAGLE ARROW · BORSACI BABA | 2 | 2/3 | 14 |
| Adana 4 | BLUE COMET · NALÇAKAN BEY · CASH FOR YOU | NALÇAKAN BEY · EL REY ESCORPİON · MY SON BERA | 2 | 1/3 | 8 |
| Adana 5 | ROYAL ROMANCE · ROSAS DEL ROSEDAL · TORNADO MAIDEN | MON BİJOU · LAMAZİ GOGO · ROYAL ROMANCE | 5 | 1/3 | 0 |
| Adana 6 | AZERBAYCANLI · KADER GÜCÜ · TAŞTEPE | AZERBAYCANLI · KARANURA · TAŞTEPE | 1 | 2/3 | 43 |
| Adana 7 | YAĞIZ EFENDİ · DALLAS MAN · HYPER ROCKER | COOGER FIRE · YAĞIZ EFENDİ · HYPER ROCKER | 9 | 2/3 | 27 |
| Adana 8 | SEVDA MEVSİMİ · EFRUZKIZI · LUNA | EFRUZKIZI · ÇIĞGİBİ · DENİZİM GÜLÜ | 2 | 1/3 | 16 |
| İstanbul 1 | ŞAHAP BAŞKAN · WARRIOR POINTE · DENİZARES | WARRIOR POINTE · DENİZARES · ŞAHAP BAŞKAN | 2 | 3/3 | 66 |
| İstanbul 2 | MAKUL · BALDWIN · OPERASYON | BALDWIN · MAKUL · OPERASYON | 2 | 3/3 | 90 |
| İstanbul 3 | JOYFUL FOREVER · DRAGON BLUE · MAKE A FIRE | DRAGON BLUE · CAZATOR DE OSOS · MAKE A FIRE | 2 | 2/3 | 19 |
| İstanbul 4 | GÜRDALHAN · SEHER ZAMANI · ERHANHAN | ÇERKES ENVER · SEHER ZAMANI · ULU AĞAÇ | 5 | 1/3 | 68 |
| İstanbul 5 | MILLENNIUM FALCON · LİSENDORA · PATRONA HOLİ | LİSENDORA · PATRONA HOLİ · MILLENNIUM FALCON | 2 | 3/3 | 71 |
| İstanbul 6 | ÖZMEN BEY · KRALKARINCA · TAŞKENT | ÖZMEN BEY · GÖKMETE · GÜRGÖKBEY | 1 | 1/3 | 62 |
| İstanbul 7 | REBEL MILLIONAIRE · ORBITAL FLAME · MY ZEKO | ORBITAL FLAME · REBEL MILLIONAIRE · MY ZEKO | 2 | 3/3 | 87 |
| İstanbul 8 | ÇİFTEHAN · OLGUN VEDAT · KORKUTELİ BEYİ | ALMUTANABİY · KORKUTELİ BEYİ · ARAM SAMSAM | 6 | 1/3 | 43 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Adana, İstanbul
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 3/16 — %19
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Adana-K1 | PİSİFORMİS · MY EAGLE | MY EAGLE | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K2 | BAY ARAZ · YUSUF KAPTAN · YENAL · ŞAHKAYA · ÖZGÜNALP · RÜZGARSU · TABİP BEY · CANMERT · ÖZGÜNALP · TABİP BEY | CANMERT | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K3 | LADY TATMAR · QUEEN SHERY · OĞUZUM · HOPE HEAD · ÜNLÜ PAŞA · KARPOT AROB · MR BERZAN · BORSACI BABA | LADY TATMAR | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K4 | MY SON BERA · BLUE COMET | NALÇAKAN BEY | 1 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K5 | FELICIA STAR · ROYAL ROMANCE | MON BİJOU | 6 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K6 | KADER GÜCÜ · AZERBAYCANLI · SİYAH PENÇE | AZERBAYCANLI | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K7 | YAĞIZ EFENDİ · SON ZAYN | COOGER FIRE | 1 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K8 | ARKEN TAŞI · SEVDA MEVSİMİ · VARTO ESİNTİSİ · LUNA · TERKEN HATUN · EFRUZKIZI · KÜÇÜK KARTAL · PRENSES KOŞKOŞUM · ATLI QUEEN | EFRUZKIZI | 7 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | ŞAHAP BAŞKAN · WARRIOR POINTE | WARRIOR POINTE | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | MAKUL · BALDWIN | BALDWIN | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | MAGIC WEAPON · İSEN BUGA · JOYFUL FOREVER · DRAGON BLUE · JOYFUL FOREVER | DRAGON BLUE | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | ERHANHAN · ÇERKES ENVER · SEHER ZAMANI · GÜRDALHAN | ÇERKES ENVER | 4 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | ESTOCADE · MILLENNIUM FALCON · LİSENDORA | LİSENDORA | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | ÖZMEN BEY · TAŞKENT · KRALKARINCA · GÖKMETE | ÖZMEN BEY | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | REBEL MILLIONAIRE · ORBITAL FLAME | ORBITAL FLAME | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | ALMUTANABİY · OLGUN VEDAT · ÇİFTEHAN | ALMUTANABİY | 6 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 13/16 — %81
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 13/16 — %81)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Adana · K1→K6 — 4. ayakta düştü (Adana-K4 · NALÇAKAN BEY)
- Adana · K3→K8 — 2. ayakta düştü (Adana-K4 · NALÇAKAN BEY)
- İstanbul · K1→K6 — 🎉 TÜM AYAKLAR TUTTU
- İstanbul · K3→K8 — 🎉 TÜM AYAKLAR TUTTU
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | My Eagle | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K2 | Tabi̇p Bey | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K3 | Borsaci Baba | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K4 | Nalçakan Bey | ❌ DIŞARIDA | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K5 | Royal Romance | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K6 | Kader Gücü | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K7 | Cooger Fire | ❌ DIŞARIDA | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K8 | Sevda Mevsi̇mi̇ | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K1 | Şahap Başkan | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | Makul | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | Magic Weapon | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K4 | Seher Zamani | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | Patrona Holi̇ | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| İstanbul-K6 | Özmen Bey | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K7 | Orbital Flame | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K8 | Çi̇ftehan | ✅ | — |
Bugün: AGF-1 3 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 2 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 1/2 (beklenti ~%52 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K6 | KADER GÜCÜ | 0.5332 | TEK | ❌ | AZERBAYCANLI KG DB SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K6 | ÖZMEN BEY | 0.5062 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | ÖZMEN BEY KG DB SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K3 | MAGIC WEAPON | 0.4872 | BANT | — | DRAGON BLUE DB SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K4 | ERHANHAN | 0.3864 | TEK-ADAY | — | ÇERKES ENVER KG DB SK | 4 |
| İstanbul-K1 | WARRIOR POINTE | 0.3828 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | WARRIOR POINTE | 2 |
| İstanbul-K2 | BALDWIN | 0.351 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | BALDWIN DB SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K7 | REBEL MILLIONAIRE | 0.2938 | BANT | — | ORBITAL FLAME K | 1 |
| Adana-K1 | MY EAGLE | 0.2794 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | MY EAGLE KG K DB | 1 |
| Adana-K5 | FELICIA STAR | 0.2776 | TEK-ADAY | — | MON BİJOU KG DB | 6 |
| Adana-K2 | ÖZGÜNALP | 0.2419 | BANT | — | CANMERT | 2 |
| İstanbul-K5 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 0.2417 | BANT | — | LİSENDORA K DB SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K8 | ALMUTANABİY | 0.226 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | ALMUTANABİY KG | 6 |
| Adana-K4 | MY SON BERA | 0.2066 | BANT | — | NALÇAKAN BEY KG DB SK | 1 |
| Adana-K8 | ARKEN TAŞI | 0.1818 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Adana-K3 | LADY TATMAR | 0.1748 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | LADY TATMAR KG K | 2 |
| Adana-K7 | YAĞIZ EFENDİ | 0.1522 | BANT | — | COOGER FIRE KG | 1 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 10 ayağın 4'inde aday yine kazandı (%40). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32989 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-18).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %50 (8/16) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %25 (4/16) · kör nokta 1/16
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | MY EAGLE | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K2 | CANMERT | 8 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Adana-K3 | LADY TATMAR | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K4 | NALÇAKAN BEY | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K5 | MON BİJOU | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K6 | AZERBAYCANLI | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K7 | COOGER FIRE | 10 | 🔴 KÖR NOKTA |
| Adana-K8 | EFRUZKIZI | 8 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İstanbul-K1 | WARRIOR POINTE | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K2 | BALDWIN | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K3 | DRAGON BLUE | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K4 | ÇERKES ENVER | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K5 | LİSENDORA | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K6 | ÖZMEN BEY | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K7 | ORBITAL FLAME | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K8 | ALMUTANABİY | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
🔴 1 KÖR NOKTA bugün — motorun 9 izlenen katmanından HİÇBİRİ ateşlemedi, ama at kazandı:
- COOGER FIRE (Adana-K7, kadro 13) — hiç sinyal yok. "o atta ne vardı?" sorusu — yeni sinyal adayı ara.
Trend — son 30 gün
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">148</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="439.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="573.5" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">139</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="335.2" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="469.2" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">106</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="224.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="358.5" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">71</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="186.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="320.6" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">59</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="28.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="162.5" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">9</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.