🔍 POST-MORTEM
30 Eylül 2026Sim-Race uyumu · 30 Eylül 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığ 1 | ROYALGUARD · KING ANCESTOR · VAN KALESİ | EUROFIGHTER · UNSEEN POWER · AŞAN GOLD | 7 | 0/3 | 0 |
| Elazığ 2 | YAĞIZALP · SÜRATLİ KIZ · MELİHTAY | YAĞIZALP · MUCİZE HAN · SÜRATLİ KIZ | 1 | 2/3 | 65 |
| Elazığ 3 | KIZIL DORU · SEYRANTAY · FISILTIKAYA | RODİNYA · KIZIL DORU · GELİNİM SİNEM | 6 | 1/3 | 38 |
| Elazığ 4 | BOSTON LIGHT · MEMORY REMAINS · ATOM CEMİL | MEMORY REMAINS · ATOM CEMİL · ANADOLU KAPLANI | 2 | 2/3 | 66 |
| Elazığ 5 | MİRZACAN · RECEPPAŞA · ÖZGÜRAK | ÖZGÜRAK · GÜLPAŞA · ÇEÇAN BEY | 3 | 1/3 | 14 |
| Elazığ 6 | MELİS HANIM · SIDNEY SHOW · ANGEL ON THE WING | LEO MELO · THE SNAKE PIT · PATPAT | 7 | 0/3 | 0 |
| Elazığ 7 | LION ESMER · ASPUWA · ÇELİK STAR | ASPUWA · LORD OF KİRVE · ANGEL OF DONYA | 2 | 1/3 | 50 |
| Elazığ 8 | RHEA · YAZ MELTEMİ · PRENSES FADİLE | SEYYARETAY · RHEA · PRENSES FADİLE | 6 | 2/3 | 44 |
| İstanbul 1 | EMİRAY ROKET · KING LEGACY BB · SOLID TIME | BREGO · EMİRAY ROKET · RECHARGE MY HEART | 9 | 1/3 | 0 |
| İstanbul 2 | UMUDUNU KAYBETME · EFE METE BEY · PUSAT BEYİ | YEŞİLKAYA · TAHAYYÜL · TAYYAR BEY | 5 | 0/3 | 36 |
| İstanbul 3 | EXTENSIVE · GHOST COMMANDER · ŞAFAKATEŞ | GHOST COMMANDER · ŞAFAKATEŞ · EXTENSIVE | 2 | 3/3 | 70 |
| İstanbul 4 | FISTIK ÇAMI · İWOJİMA · BLUEMOON | SAADGIRL · İWOJİMA · HAZBALIK | 13 | 1/3 | 10 |
| İstanbul 5 | NATIVE BLOSSOM · BOMBOLONI · FINAL LEGEND | NATIVE BLOSSOM · FINAL LEGEND · SHIMMER | 1 | 2/3 | 67 |
| İstanbul 6 | LAUREATE · MR NALÇAKAN · MY RAINY HEART | SPLENDID · LAUREATE · LOWER SPIRIT | 4 | 1/3 | 9 |
| İstanbul 7 | TOUCH THE CLOUD · GIRALAMO · LOST TREASURE | DARK MONEY · DRAGON BLUE · GIRALAMO | 5 | 1/3 | 14 |
| İstanbul 8 | ORBITAL FLAME · SOMEWHAT CLOUDY · MURAD KHAN | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY · ORBITAL FLAME · SHINO | 2 | 2/3 | 58 |
| İstanbul 9 | THIEF IN MARRAKESH · GLONASS · NALÇAKAN BEY | NALÇAKAN BEY · ALPHA SKY · THIEF IN MARRAKESH | 3 | 2/3 | 57 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Bursa, Elazığ, İstanbul
⛔ KART İPTAL: Bursa — bu şehrin ayakları sayılmaz (kaynak
07-Data/KART-IPTAL.csv).
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 2/17 — %12
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Bursa-K1 | ALKATRAZ KUŞÇUSU · ARDAPAŞA · DİNAMİKO · SARAYTAY · TOKATHANIN GÜLÜ · KAZAN GİRİL · ALAZVUR · DOSTBAŞAR · BODRUM RÜZGARI | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — hava muhalefeti |
| K | Bursa-K2 | SELLY SU · LO SIENTO BB | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — hava muhalefeti |
| K | Bursa-K3 | KUZGUNİ YEŞİL | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — hava muhalefeti |
| K | Bursa-K4 | DELICIAS TURCAS · AURORA NOVA · ROYAL MAJESTY · SILA ALEYNA · ARROW STORM | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — hava muhalefeti |
| K | Bursa-K5 | ERDUMAN · ACOUSTIC SONG · RACING RAPTURE · GOLDEN SAIL · ANGEL OF GOLD YP · BRUSK SHOT · TYPHOON · HARP · GOLDEN SNOW | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — hava muhalefeti |
| K | Bursa-K6 | TARÇINKIZ · SİYAH KUŞ · KURŞUNİLİ · DEMRENİN KIZI | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — hava muhalefeti |
| K | Bursa-K7 | YOSEMITE GIRL · LADY GALA · TATLI AKYÜZ · YOU ARE GREAT · WORKIN LADY · LEGEND ARROW | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — hava muhalefeti |
| K | Bursa-K8 | LETS WIN TOGETHER | — | — | ⛔ KART İPTAL — hava muhalefeti |
| K | Elazığ-K1 | ROYALGUARD · KING ANCESTOR | EUROFIGHTER | 1 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K2 | YAĞIZALP · MELİHTAY · BIÇKIN KRAL | YAĞIZALP | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K3 | KIZIL DORU · SEYRANTAY · FISILTIKAYA · GÖZE ÇARPAN · LAVİSTAKAYA · RODİNYA · İREM HATUN | RODİNYA | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K4 | BOSTON LIGHT · MEMORY REMAINS | MEMORY REMAINS | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K5 | EFSANE YILMAZ | ÖZGÜRAK | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K6 | MELİS HANIM · ANGEL ON THE WING · PATPAT | LEO MELO | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K7 | LION ESMER · ASPUWA · LORD OF KİRVE · KING RHAEGAL | ASPUWA | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K8 | RHEA · YAZ MELTEMİ · PRENSES FADİLE · EZGİL FIRTINASI · SUZANAY · SEYYARETAY · NERGİS SULTAN | SEYYARETAY | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | EMİRAY ROKET · KING LEGACY BB · SOLID TIME · ROHİRRİM · RUN OF HONOUR | BREGO | 7 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | UMUDUNU KAYBETME · EFE METE BEY · PUSAT BEYİ · ÖNDER · YEŞİLKAYA · TAHAYYÜL · KIR PAPATYASI · KRAL YAZICI · KARAGÜRGEN · YEŞİLKAYA · KOŞAN NUR | YEŞİLKAYA | 6 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | EXTENSIVE · GHOST COMMANDER | GHOST COMMANDER | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | FISTIK ÇAMI · İWOJİMA · BLUEMOON · JALELA · MÜREKKEP YÜREK | SAADGIRL | 11 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | NATIVE BLOSSOM | NATIVE BLOSSOM | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | LAUREATE · MR NALÇAKAN · MY RAINY HEART · SPLENDID | SPLENDID | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | TOUCH THE CLOUD · GIRALAMO · LOST TREASURE | DARK MONEY | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | ORBITAL FLAME · SOMEWHAT CLOUDY · MURAD KHAN · EL QUIQUE · RIVIAN GERALT · KADİRİNOĞLU | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K9 | THIEF IN MARRAKESH · GLONASS · NALÇAKAN BEY | NALÇAKAN BEY | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 11/17 — %65
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 11/17 — %65)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Bursa · K1→K6 — ⏳ HENÜZ TAMAMLANMADI (0/6 ayak sonuçlandı, hiç koşulmadı)
- Bursa · K3→K8 — ⏳ HENÜZ TAMAMLANMADI (0/6 ayak sonuçlandı, hiç koşulmadı)
- Elazığ · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (Elazığ-K1 · EUROFIGHTER)
- Elazığ · K3→K8 — 3. ayakta düştü (Elazığ-K5 · ÖZGÜRAK)
- İstanbul · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K1 · BREGO)
- İstanbul · K4→K9 — 1. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K4 · SAADGIRL)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa-K1 | Di̇nami̇ko | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K2 | Lo Siento Bb | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K3 | Kuzguni̇ Yeşi̇l | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K4 | Aurora Nova | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K5 | Acoustic Song | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K6 | Demreni̇n Kizi | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K7 | Tatli Akyüz | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K8 | Lets Win Together | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K1 | Eurofighter | ❌ DIŞARIDA | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Elazığ-K2 | Meli̇htay | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K3 | Rodi̇nya | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Elazığ-K4 | Memory Remains | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Elazığ-K5 | Mi̇rzacan | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| Elazığ-K6 | Angel On The Wing | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K7 | Lion Esmer | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K8 | Yaz Meltemi̇ | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K1 | Emi̇ray Roket | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | Umudunu Kaybetme | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | Extensive | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K4 | Mürekkep Yürek | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | Native Blossom | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K6 | Splendid | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K7 | Giralamo | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K8 | Orbital Flame | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K9 | Thief In Marrakesh | ✅ | — |
Bugün: AGF-1 2 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 1 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 1/2 (beklenti ~%18 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığ-K7 | LION ESMER | 0.5718 | BANT | — | ASPUWA KG SK | 2 |
| Elazığ-K1 | ROYALGUARD | 0.568 | VETO · DOGU-K1 | ✅ haklı veto | EUROFIGHTER K DB | 1 |
| Bursa-K8 | LETS WIN TOGETHER | 0.4616 | TEK | ⬜ | — | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | EXTENSIVE | 0.452 | TEK-ADAY | — | GHOST COMMANDER KG K DB | 3 |
| İstanbul-K2 | UMUDUNU KAYBETME | 0.4452 | BANT | — | YEŞİLKAYA KG DB SK | 6 |
| Elazığ-K4 | BOSTON LIGHT | 0.418 | BANT | — | MEMORY REMAINS DB SKG SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K7 | GIRALAMO | 0.3911 | VETO · PIST-DONUS | ✅ haklı veto | DARK MONEY KG SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K9 | THIEF IN MARRAKESH | 0.3861 | BANT | — | NALÇAKAN BEY KG DB SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K5 | NATIVE BLOSSOM | 0.3163 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | NATIVE BLOSSOM K | 1 |
| Bursa-K2 | LO SIENTO BB | 0.2795 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Elazığ-K6 | ANGEL ON THE WING | 0.2125 | BANT | — | LEO MELO DB SK | 4 |
| İstanbul-K8 | ORBITAL FLAME | 0.2041 | BANT | — | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY DB SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K1 | EMİRAY ROKET | 0.1973 | BANT | — | BREGO SK | 7 |
| Elazığ-K8 | YAZ MELTEMİ | 0.1824 | BANT | — | SEYYARETAY DB SKG SK | 2 |
| Bursa-K4 | AURORA NOVA | 0.1653 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| İstanbul-K6 | SPLENDID | 0.1548 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | SPLENDID DB SKG | 1 |
| Bursa-K7 | TATLI AKYÜZ | 0.1353 | TEK-ADAY | ⬜ | — | — |
| Bursa-K5 | ACOUSTIC SONG | 0.1335 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| İstanbul-K4 | MÜREKKEP YÜREK | 0.1327 | TEK-ADAY | — | SAADGIRL KG DB SK | 11 |
| Bursa-K6 | DEMRENİN KIZI | 0.1211 | TEK-ADAY | ⬜ | — | — |
| Bursa-K1 | DİNAMİKO | 0.1078 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | ⬜ | — | — |
| Elazığ-K2 | MELİHTAY | 0.1036 | TEK-ADAY | — | YAĞIZALP KG DB SK | 2 |
| Elazığ-K3 | RODİNYA | 0.0788 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | RODİNYA DB SK | 1 |
| Elazığ-K5 | EFSANE YILMAZ | 0.0507 | TEK | ❌ | ÖZGÜRAK KG DB SK | 4 |
| Bursa-K3 | KUZGUNİ YEŞİL | 0.0478 | TEK | ⬜ | — | — |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 9 ayağın 1'inde aday yine kazandı (%11). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 2 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32661 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-09-30).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %53 (9/17) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %12 (2/17) · kör nokta 0/17
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığ-K1 | EUROFIGHTER | 7 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Elazığ-K2 | YAĞIZALP | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Elazığ-K3 | RODİNYA | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Elazığ-K4 | MEMORY REMAINS | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K5 | ÖZGÜRAK | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K6 | LEO MELO | 7 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Elazığ-K7 | ASPUWA | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K8 | SEYYARETAY | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İstanbul-K1 | BREGO | 9 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| İstanbul-K2 | YEŞİLKAYA | 5 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K3 | GHOST COMMANDER | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K4 | SAADGIRL | 13 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| İstanbul-K5 | NATIVE BLOSSOM | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K6 | SPLENDID | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K7 | DARK MONEY | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K8 | SOMEWHAT CLOUDY | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K9 | NALÇAKAN BEY | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
Trend — son 30 gün
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fill="#718096">44.1</text><line x1="48" y1="83.5" x2="624" y2="83.5" stroke="#edf2f7" stroke-width="1"/><text x="42" y="86.5" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#718096">66.3</text><line x1="48" y1="36.0" x2="624" y2="36.0" stroke="#edf2f7" stroke-width="1"/><text x="42" y="39.0" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#718096">88.5</text><text x="48.0" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">09-01</text><text x="107.6" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">09-04</text><text x="167.2" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">09-07</text><text x="226.8" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" 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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">151</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="375.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="509.0" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">121</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="334.7" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="468.7" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">108</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="226.3" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="360.3" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">73</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="176.7" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="310.7" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">57</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="12.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="146.4" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">4</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.