🔍 POST-MORTEM
1 Kasım 2026Günün kazananları · 1 Kasım 2026
DRAGON IS FATHER · AKERBEY · NORTHERN NURDETTA · CANELÇİN · ROLLING STONE · BALKIBEY · ANGLE RISING · DOĞAN ASLANIM · LADY ARES · YENERSULTAN · BALDWIN · MANDAR ABBAS · SÜPER HAN · SAÇANŞAH · SON OF KEREM · PİSİFORMİS · AYTOR
Sim-Race uyumu · 1 Kasım 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adana 1 | AFAMIA · DOĞAN ASLANIM · FIRE OF VALERIA | DOĞAN ASLANIM · CRIMSON POWER · SIBLINGS | 2 | 1/3 | 0 |
| Adana 2 | EFRUZKIZI · YENERSULTAN · ESENYIL | YENERSULTAN · ATEŞİM · FISILTIKAYA | 2 | 1/3 | 47 |
| Adana 3 | BEMBEYAZ ADAM · KADERİ GÜZEL · LİSBOA | PİSİFORMİS · GÜLSENEM · ATEŞ KUŞLARI | 8 | 0/3 | 0 |
| Adana 4 | BELİNAY TAY · THE GAMBARE · SYDNEY WIZARD | LADY ARES · BELİNAY TAY · MISS TOKOÇİN | 8 | 1/3 | 75 |
| Adana 5 | DEV YÜREK · TOYGARLI · İSKENDER HAN | AKERBEY · NAHİT ABİ · DEV YÜREK | 4 | 1/3 | 42 |
| Adana 6 | LA JEFA · FORLORN · NORTHERN NURDETTA | NORTHERN NURDETTA · LA JEFA · GENGAR | 3 | 2/3 | 55 |
| Adana 7 | ASLAN SAİM · BABA DOÇKA · SIR AT | ANGLE RISING · BEST ALYA · FAST FOTON | 4 | 0/3 | 0 |
| Adana 8 | LAS WEGAS · TIMEWARDEN · SAND PIPER | SON OF KEREM · TIMEWAY · TIMEWARDEN | 7 | 1/3 | 64 |
| İstanbul 2 | BALKIBEY · SERGÜZEŞT · ALAZVUR | BALKIBEY · ALAZVUR · SERGÜZEŞT | 1 | 3/3 | 81 |
| İstanbul 3 | THE KING SIAYER · BALDWIN · ZİMBATRON | BALDWIN · SHEER FORCE · SARUNAS | 2 | 1/3 | 7 |
| İstanbul 4 | CHASE HORIZON (FR) · CHAMPIONS · DRAGON IS FATHER | DRAGON IS FATHER · HASTA FINAL · CHAMPIONS | 3 | 2/3 | 42 |
| İstanbul 5 | SÜPER HAN · DOĞANHAN · MR DODO | SÜPER HAN · CHOSEN ONE · DOĞANHAN | 1 | 2/3 | 31 |
| İstanbul 6 | AYLAK KIZ · CANELÇİN · BOLU RAZ | CANELÇİN · HOŞBAKIŞ · TANKIZI | 2 | 1/3 | 23 |
| İstanbul 7 | SAÇANŞAH · ASİL OĞLAN · AZİMLİ | SAÇANŞAH · ASİL OĞLAN · MEGAFAUNA | 1 | 2/3 | 35 |
| İstanbul 8 | ROLLING STONE · TOUCH OF GLORY · GRETEL | ROLLING STONE · ATOMIC AGE · TOUCH OF GLORY | 1 | 2/3 | 57 |
| İstanbul 9 | MANDAR ABBAS · DAMLA SUYU · ESEN BATU YP | MANDAR ABBAS · SERİNTEPE · TARLABAŞI | 1 | 1/3 | 61 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Adana, İstanbul
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 8/17 — %47
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Adana-K1 | SIBLINGS · LADY BROWN · DOĞAN ASLANIM · FIRE OF VALERIA · AFAMIA · OKLOHAMA · VENENO | DOĞAN ASLANIM | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K2 | YENERSULTAN · RODİNYA · ATEŞİM · EFRUZKIZI | YENERSULTAN | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K3 | PİSİFORMİS · BEMBEYAZ ADAM · KADERİ GÜZEL · ŞARK AYAZI · LİSBOA | PİSİFORMİS | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K4 | THE GAMBARE · BITTERSWEET · MY FEARLESS · BELİNAY TAY | LADY ARES | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K5 | DEV YÜREK · İSKENDER HAN · TOYGARLI | AKERBEY | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K6 | NORTHERN NURDETTA · LAMAZİ GOGO · LA JEFA · FORLORN | NORTHERN NURDETTA | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Adana-K7 | SIR AT · ASLAN SAİM | ANGLE RISING | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Adana-K8 | SON OF KEREM · TIMEWARDEN · SAND PIPER · LAS WEGAS · HALİMHANBEY | SON OF KEREM | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | TİTANESS · DON ÇİÇİ · IZZY FIZZY · AYTOR (IRE) | AYTOR | 1 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | ALAZVUR · SERGÜZEŞT · ERÇETİN · BALKIBEY | BALKIBEY | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | BALDWIN · THE KING SIAYER | BALDWIN | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | CHAMPIONS · SONHATIRA · HASTA FINAL · CHASE HORIZON (FR) | DRAGON IS FATHER | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | SÜPER HAN · DOĞANHAN · MAKİNİST | SÜPER HAN | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | CANELÇİN · BOLU RAZ · ZAFER YILDIZI · AYLAK KIZ · TANKIZI · YAMAN ÖZGE | CANELÇİN | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | SAÇANŞAH · ASİL OĞLAN | SAÇANŞAH | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | TOUCH OF GLORY · ROLLING STONE · ATOMIC AGE | ROLLING STONE | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K9 | EGETAY · DAMLA SUYU · MANDAR ABBAS · SERİNTEPE · SEMENDİN GÜCÜ · ESEN BATU YP · DİLBERAN · TARLABAŞI · KURUÇAY | MANDAR ABBAS | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 12/17 — %71
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 12/17 — %71)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Adana · K1→K6 — 4. ayakta düştü (Adana-K4 · LADY ARES)
- Adana · K3→K8 — 2. ayakta düştü (Adana-K4 · LADY ARES)
- İstanbul · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K1 · AYTOR)
- İstanbul · K4→K9 — 1. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K4 · DRAGON IS FATHER)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | Siblings | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K2 | Yenersultan | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K3 | Pi̇si̇formi̇s | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Adana-K4 | The Gambare | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K5 | Dev Yürek | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K6 | Gengar | ❌ DIŞARIDA | — |
| Adana-K7 | Aslan Sai̇m | ✅ | — |
| Adana-K8 | Timewarden | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K1 | Aytor (Ire) | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | Sergüzeşt | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | The King Siayer | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K4 | Chase Horizon (Fr) | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | Süper Han | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K6 | Canelçi̇n | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K7 | Saçanşah | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K8 | Touch Of Glory | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K9 | Mandar Abbas | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
Bugün: AGF-1 1 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 0 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 3/4 (beklenti ~%41 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| İstanbul-K7 | SAÇANŞAH | 0.5134 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | SAÇANŞAH SKG SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K8 | TOUCH OF GLORY | 0.4663 | TEK-ADAY | — | ROLLING STONE | 2 |
| İstanbul-K5 | SÜPER HAN | 0.3952 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | SÜPER HAN KG DB | 1 |
| Adana-K7 | SIR AT | 0.3823 | TEK | ❌ | ANGLE RISING KG K DB | 3 |
| Adana-K6 | NORTHERN NURDETTA | 0.3513 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | NORTHERN NURDETTA DB SKG SK | 3 |
| Adana-K2 | YENERSULTAN | 0.33 | TEK-ADAY | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | YENERSULTAN KG SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K6 | CANELÇİN | 0.3004 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | CANELÇİN KG K | 1 |
| İstanbul-K3 | ZİMBATRON | 0.2917 | TEK-ADAY | — | BALDWIN DB SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K1 | TİTANESS | 0.2621 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | ✅ haklı veto | AYTOR K DB | 1 |
| Adana-K1 | SIBLINGS | 0.2552 | BANT | — | DOĞAN ASLANIM KG SK | 2 |
| Adana-K5 | DEV YÜREK | 0.2476 | BANT | — | AKERBEY KG DB | 4 |
| Adana-K3 | PİSİFORMİS | 0.2343 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | PİSİFORMİS K DB | 1 |
| İstanbul-K4 | SONHATIRA | 0.2269 | BANT | — | DRAGON IS FATHER SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K2 | ALAZVUR | 0.2091 | BANT | — | BALKIBEY KG DB SK | 2 |
| Adana-K8 | SON OF KEREM | 0.1845 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| İstanbul-K9 | EGETAY | 0.1591 | BANT | — | MANDAR ABBAS DB SKG SK | 1 |
| Adana-K4 | THE GAMBARE | 0.1535 | BANT | — | LADY ARES K | 4 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 8 ayağın 2'inde aday yine kazandı (%25). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 1 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (33230 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-11-01).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %69 (11/16) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %50 (8/16) · kör nokta 0/16
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Adana-K1 | DOĞAN ASLANIM | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K2 | YENERSULTAN | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K3 | PİSİFORMİS | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K4 | LADY ARES | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| Adana-K5 | AKERBEY | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Adana-K6 | NORTHERN NURDETTA | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| Adana-K7 | ANGLE RISING | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Adana-K8 | SON OF KEREM | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K2 | BALKIBEY | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K3 | BALDWIN | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K4 | DRAGON IS FATHER | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İstanbul-K5 | SÜPER HAN | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K6 | CANELÇİN | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K7 | SAÇANŞAH | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K8 | ROLLING STONE | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K9 | MANDAR ABBAS | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
Trend — son 30 gün
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fill="#718096">44.8</text><line x1="48" y1="83.5" x2="624" y2="83.5" stroke="#edf2f7" stroke-width="1"/><text x="42" y="86.5" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#718096">63.9</text><line x1="48" y1="36.0" x2="624" y2="36.0" stroke="#edf2f7" stroke-width="1"/><text x="42" y="39.0" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#718096">83.1</text><text x="48.0" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">10-03</text><text x="107.6" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">10-06</text><text x="167.2" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" fill="#718096">10-09</text><text x="226.8" y="242" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:9px" 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y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M1 (bant)</text><circle cx="132" cy="250" r="3.5" fill="#2f855a"/><text x="140" y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M3 (1. sıra)</text></svg>
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">155</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="462.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="596.0" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">153</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="262.7" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="396.7" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">87</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="199.3" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="333.3" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">66</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="166.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="300.1" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">55</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="27.2" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="161.2" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">9</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.