🔍 POST-MORTEM

2026-09-19
🎲 gün sayfası🖋 GÖRENkurgu🏆 TEK kapısıpost-mortem🧐 yorumtüm günler
%50
M1 isabet · oynanan 12/24 ayak

TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez

Kart: Ankara, Diyarbakır, İzmir

🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 6/24 — %25

(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)

AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu

K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)

ayakbandımızkazananAGFsonuç
KAnkara-K1SEYRAN HANIM · HARDAL ÇİÇEĞİMHARDAL ÇİÇEĞİM2✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K2GAZNELİ · KARSAVURANLI · SAPANCA AĞASI · ERKURT · UMUTSER · DIRAXTER · ÖZGÜNVERA · TABİP BEYGAZNELİ3✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K3RADAGIA · SHALLOW · LADY SOVEREIGN · SAND PIPER · MONIQUERADAGIA1✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K4NORTHERN NURDETTANORTHERN NURDETTA2✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K5AFRİKA SULTANI · HÜSNECAN · KINALIKAYAM · KIZIM SAFİR · AKÇALIKIZ · DOĞANGİR · UYGURKIZI · ALGHABRA · BİLGÜ · DOĞANGİR · ALGHABRATALİHLİ KIZ4❌ KAÇTI
KAnkara-K6ATAMANBEY · HEDBEENDORFİN4❌ KAÇTI
KAnkara-K7MASTER OF RACE · FAST PILOTTESCİL3❌ KAÇTI
KAnkara-K8JOHN ABRUZZIMARTİNA5❌ KAÇTI
KAnkara-K9CAN ŞEHRİBAN · SERÇE KIZI · ÇİLDUTAYCAN ŞEHRİBAN1✅ BANTTA
KAnkara-K10RUNNER ON RIVER · LAGARİ · CASHOUT · RACING PHANTOM · UNDEFEATABLE · GRAY SWORD · MY ROSECEM · ASTRA LUMINABLOODSHOT12❌ KAÇTI
KDiyarbakır-K1DREAM CHASER · ZAEDNO · DOBRA KIZ · BLUE COMET · VOICE OF REASON · GOLDEN SOUL · TORUNUM DEVRİM · ROCKIN TIZWAY · LUXUARY · LUXUARYBLUE COMET2✅ BANTTA
KDiyarbakır-K2SON OFF OZAN · GOLDEN COOGER · SUNFYRESON OFF OZAN1✅ BANTTA
KDiyarbakır-K3MOONFAIRY · TAHİRBEYLİMOONFAIRY2✅ BANTTA
KDiyarbakır-K4ÖZGÜRAK · EFSANE YILMAZ · DÜZGÖRÜN OĞLU · ZOR AĞA · SEYYARETAY · URFA KAPLANI · FIRATHAN AĞASI · ŞAH TUNALI · KAHRAMAN · ŞAH TUNALI · KAHRAMANURFA KAPLANI8✅ BANTTA
KDiyarbakır-K5ANGEL OF DONYA · EWER OF SWEETŞAHPERİ3❌ KAÇTI
KDiyarbakır-K6SEYRANTAYPRENSES DİLARA1❌ KAÇTI
Kİzmir-K1LADY ONAT · TEJON MELERO · KINGS POWER · NO BRAKES · LORD SENTINEL · SELLYGIRL · OLAYIN ASLI · BABA ALUŞNO BRAKES3✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K2SERTESEN · ÇAĞIM · YAĞIZSOYRÜZGAR TINAS2❌ KAÇTI
Kİzmir-K3JUNIOR BAŞKAN · DANCE OF WIND · CANENCAN · FROST CAT · SİSU · KHIOS · MOĞOL · HARVEY WALLBANGER · LORD PROTECTORDANCE OF WIND2✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K4YİĞİT NURKOÇİNOĞLU1❌ KAÇTI
Kİzmir-K5ROSİCAN · ADI YAŞASINIŞIKLARLIM8❌ KAÇTI
Kİzmir-K6EMPEROR · ANKA ERÇELİKDÖNEN DEVRAN2❌ KAÇTI
Kİzmir-K7KURUÇAY · YOL GEZER · CİHAN ŞAHI · ERSELEFE · DEMİRNAL · KARANİMO · KIVIRCIK MEMET · HALİDAĞA · BENEKLİDEMİRNAL6✅ BANTTA
Kİzmir-K8SMYRNA POWER · TEBLİGAT · DRAGON OF SONG · FIREBLADESABALENKA5❌ KAÇTI

M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 12/24 — %50
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)

(tüm ayaklar dahil: 12/24 — %50)

KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü

SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu

Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?

ayakAGF-1bantta mıydıkazandı mı
Ankara-K1Seyran Hanim✅—
Ankara-K10Runner On River✅—
Ankara-K2Özgünvera✅—
Ankara-K3Radagia✅🏆 KAZANDI
Ankara-K4Bahama Mama❌ DIŞARIDA—
Ankara-K5Hüsnecan✅—
Ankara-K6Atamanbey✅—
Ankara-K7Mi̇r Emre❌ DIŞARIDA—
Ankara-K8John Abruzzi✅—
Ankara-K9Can Şehri̇ban✅🏆 KAZANDI
Diyarbakır-K1Zaedno✅—
Diyarbakır-K2Son Off Ozan✅🏆 KAZANDI
Diyarbakır-K3Calibration❌ DIŞARIDA—
Diyarbakır-K4Özgürak✅—
Diyarbakır-K5Ewer Of Sweet✅—
Diyarbakır-K6Prenses Di̇lara❌ DIŞARIDA🏆 KAZANDI
İzmir-K1Lady Onat✅—
İzmir-K2Sertesen✅—
İzmir-K3Moğol✅—
İzmir-K4Koçi̇noğlu❌ DIŞARIDA🏆 KAZANDI
İzmir-K5Adi Yaşasin✅—
İzmir-K6Anka Erçeli̇k✅—
İzmir-K7Kuruçay✅—
İzmir-K8Smyrna Power✅—

Bugün: AGF-1 5 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 2 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)

🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi

Atılan TEK: 1/4 (beklenti ~%44 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))

ayakTEKpkararsonuçkazanankazanan AGF
Ankara-K8JOHN ABRUZZI0.6959TEK❌MARTİNA KG K DB5
Diyarbakır-K5ANGEL OF DONYA0.4429TEK-ADAY⬜——
Diyarbakır-K6SEYRANTAY0.3774TEK⬜——
Ankara-K7MASTER OF RACE0.3617TEK-ADAY—TESCİL K DB3
İzmir-K2SERTESEN0.3572TEK❌RÜZGAR TINAS KG K DB2
Ankara-K4NORTHERN NURDETTA0.3485TEK✅ TUTTUNORTHERN NURDETTA DB SKG SK2
İzmir-K4YİĞİT NUR0.3469TEK❌KOÇİNOĞLU DB SK1
İzmir-K5ROSİCAN0.3341TEK-ADAY—IŞIKLARLIM KG DB SK8
Ankara-K6ATAMANBEY0.3336BANT—ENDORFİN KG K DB4
Diyarbakır-K2SON OFF OZAN0.332BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)SON OFF OZAN KG DB SK1
Diyarbakır-K3MOONFAIRY0.3155BANT⬜——
İzmir-K6EMPEROR0.2983BANT—DÖNEN DEVRAN2
Ankara-K2GAZNELİ0.2964BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)GAZNELİ KG K3
Ankara-K3RADAGIA0.2822BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)RADAGIA KG1
Ankara-K9CAN ŞEHRİBAN0.2811BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)CAN ŞEHRİBAN DB SK1
İzmir-K3JUNIOR BAŞKAN0.2733BANT—DANCE OF WIND DB SK2
İzmir-K1LADY ONAT0.2665BANT—NO BRAKES KG K DB3
Diyarbakır-K1DREAM CHASER0.2529VETO · DOGU-K1✅ haklı vetoBLUE COMET KG DB SK2
Ankara-K10RUNNER ON RIVER0.2419BANT—BLOODSHOT DB SK12
Diyarbakır-K4ÖZGÜRAK0.2089BANT⬜——
İzmir-K7KURUÇAY0.2068BANT—DEMİRNAL KG DB SK6
Ankara-K5AFRİKA SULTANI0.1985BANT—TALİHLİ KIZ KG DB SK4
İzmir-K8TEBLİGAT0.1855BANT—SABALENKA DB SK5
Ankara-K1SEYRAN HANIM0.1809VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK✅ haklı vetoHARDAL ÇİÇEĞİM SKG SK2

Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 12 ayağın 4'inde aday yine kazandı (%33). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.

Sert veto: 2 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md

Bu tablo TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.

🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ

Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32481 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-09-19).

Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %33 (8/24) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %21 (5/24) · kör nokta 0/24

ayakkazananorkestra sırasıteşhis
Ankara-K1HARDAL ÇİÇEĞİM2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Ankara-K10BLOODSHOT12🔴 ceza fazla sert
Ankara-K2GAZNELİ4🟠 kol dar kalmış
Ankara-K3RADAGIA1✅ sistem çalıştı
Ankara-K4NORTHERN NURDETTA1✅ sistem çalıştı
Ankara-K5TALİHLİ KIZ11🔴 ceza fazla sert
Ankara-K6ENDORFİN5🟠 kol dar kalmış
Ankara-K7TESCİL3🟠 kol dar kalmış
Ankara-K8MARTİNA4🟠 kol dar kalmış
Ankara-K9CAN ŞEHRİBAN1✅ sistem çalıştı
Diyarbakır-K1BLUE COMET4🟠 kol dar kalmış
Diyarbakır-K2SON OFF OZAN1✅ sistem çalıştı
Diyarbakır-K3MOONFAIRY1✅ sistem çalıştı
Diyarbakır-K4URFA KAPLANI6🟠 ağırlık düşük
Diyarbakır-K5ŞAHPERİ3🟠 kol dar kalmış
Diyarbakır-K6PRENSES DİLARA4🟠 kol dar kalmış
İzmir-K1NO BRAKES5🟠 kol dar kalmış
İzmir-K2RÜZGAR TINAS6🟠 ağırlık düşük
İzmir-K3DANCE OF WIND2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
İzmir-K4KOÇİNOĞLU4🟡 bantta, 1. değil
İzmir-K5IŞIKLARLIM9🟠 ağırlık düşük
İzmir-K6DÖNEN DEVRAN8🟠 ağırlık düşük
İzmir-K7DEMİRNAL5🟠 kol dar kalmış
İzmir-K8SABALENKA5🟠 kol dar kalmış

Trend — son 30 gün

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x="61" y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M1 (bant)</text><circle cx="132" cy="250" r="3.5" fill="#2f855a"/><text x="140" y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M3 (1. sıra)</text></svg>

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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">163</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="358.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="492.9" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">125</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="327.3" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="461.3" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">114</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="195.2" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="329.2" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">68</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="166.5" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="300.5" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">58</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="31.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="165.6" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">11</text></svg>

Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.

TJK Günlük · POST-MORTEM · 2026-09-19