🔍 POST-MORTEM

2026-09-20
🎲 gün sayfası🖋 GÖRENkurgu🏆 TEK kapısıpost-mortem🧐 yorumtüm günler
%58
M1 isabet · oynanan 11/19 ayak

TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez

Kart: Adana, İstanbul

🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 6/19 — %32

(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)

AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu

K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)

ayakbandımızkazananAGFsonuç
KAdana-K1ARSLAN OĞLU · ALİMENDER · CANMERT · TEYAR · RÜZGAR DELENALİMENDER5✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K2SMART CHILDREN · FORLORNBELLAFINA1❌ KAÇTI
KAdana-K3DR NECO · YELLOW LION · DISASTER GIRL · BOBİDİK · VOOSEBHAYELLOW LION3✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K4NOBLE CREST · MYONEDAYROSE WARRIOR2❌ KAÇTI
KAdana-K5SCHATZSUN OF THE GÖKSU6❌ KAÇTI
KAdana-K6TELGRAF · KALİ STRATA · MAXIMUS MAN · TUVA · SMALL BURGAZ · AZP STAR · BİR KARA VEDAT · SNOW LEOPARD · BABA DOÇKATELGRAF1✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K7BABA OCAĞI · SING SCAT · KING SPECTER · ÇİMEN BERA · LODBROK · FLASHING PEARL · NORTH COMMAND · ASYANIN GÜNEŞİBABA OCAĞI1✅ BANTTA
KAdana-K8KAYAFATİH · TORUNCALASASLAN HATİP5❌ KAÇTI
KAdana-K9KING SERGEN · SHA CARRIFALCON POWER5❌ KAÇTI
KAdana-K10BAŞ DAĞYUDAN · GÜZELMİNE · ÇEŞMEBAŞI YPBELALI CİBEK6❌ KAÇTI
Kİstanbul-K1LO SIENTO BB · MEYDAN OKU · ANY GIVEN SUNDAY · GRAND COMMANDER · NATIVE RUNNERANY GIVEN SUNDAY1✅ BANTTA
Kİstanbul-K2BOLGA · PİYANGO · MİSS KÜBRA · ZİNAMIN · KUZGUNİ YEŞİL · GÜZEL HUYLUM · SIRTAŞIAÇAKIZ8❌ KAÇTI
Kİstanbul-K3LET IT BURN · WIND OF ROMANCEWIND OF ROMANCE2✅ BANTTA
Kİstanbul-K4SOCIAL BEEASRA İNAT8❌ KAÇTI
Kİstanbul-K5CHOSEN ONE · WOLF BROTHERS YP · PATRONA HOLİ · LİSENDORA · KOKO LOKO · MY CHAKRA · SHINING LIFE · SHADOW MASTER · LİSENDORA · KOKO LOKOCHOSEN ONE3✅ BANTTA
Kİstanbul-K6ÖZMEN BEY · GÖKIRMAKÖZMEN BEY1✅ BANTTA
Kİstanbul-K7NYMPHADORA TONKS · DEJAVU · SPLENDID · OHRID INCISI · SHIROKESHIROKE6✅ BANTTA
Kİstanbul-K8MR TT · CALVADOSMR TT1✅ BANTTA
Kİstanbul-K9MAVİŞİN KIZI · LAZMAN · KOŞAN NUR · EFE METE BEY · GÜMBÜRHAN · UMUDUNU KAYBETME · ÖZGÜNBERK · KIR PAPATYASI · TRAKTÖR · LEONİDASMAVİŞİN KIZI2✅ BANTTA

M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 11/19 — %58
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)

(tüm ayaklar dahil: 11/19 — %58)

KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü

SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu

Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?

ayakAGF-1bantta mıydıkazandı mı
Adana-K1Teyar✅—
Adana-K10Baş Dağyudan✅—
Adana-K2Bellafina❌ DIŞARIDA🏆 KAZANDI
Adana-K3Dr Neco✅—
Adana-K4Myoneday✅—
Adana-K5Dolce Mare❌ DIŞARIDA—
Adana-K6Telgraf✅🏆 KAZANDI
Adana-K7Baba Ocaği✅🏆 KAZANDI
Adana-K8Kayafati̇h✅—
Adana-K9King Sergen✅—
İstanbul-K1Any Given Sunday✅🏆 KAZANDI
İstanbul-K2Kuzguni̇ Yeşi̇l✅—
İstanbul-K3Alpha Centauri❌ DIŞARIDA—
İstanbul-K4The Chosen❌ DIŞARIDA—
İstanbul-K5Wolf Brothers Yp✅—
İstanbul-K6Özmen Bey✅🏆 KAZANDI
İstanbul-K7Nymphadora Tonks✅—
İstanbul-K8Mr Tt✅🏆 KAZANDI
İstanbul-K9Umudunu Kaybetme✅—

Bugün: AGF-1 4 ayakta bant dışındaydı, 1 tanesi kazandı.
(n küçük — yön göstergesi, mühür değil. v3.1 §10)

🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi

Atılan TEK: 0/2 (beklenti ~%51 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))

ayakTEKpkararsonuçkazanankazanan AGF
İstanbul-K4SOCIAL BEE0.5487TEK❌ASRA İNAT K8
Adana-K5SCHATZ0.4744TEK❌SUN OF THE GÖKSU KG DB SK6
İstanbul-K8MR TT0.4518TEK-ADAY⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)MR TT DB SKG SK1
İstanbul-K7NYMPHADORA TONKS0.4093BANT—SHIROKE DB SK6
İstanbul-K6ÖZMEN BEY0.4039TEK-ADAY⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)ÖZMEN BEY KG DB SK1
Adana-K2SMART CHILDREN0.3908TEK-ADAY—BELLAFINA KG DB SK1
İstanbul-K5CHOSEN ONE0.3662BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)CHOSEN ONE DB SKG SK3
Adana-K4NOBLE CREST0.3532BANT—ROSE WARRIOR KG SK2
Adana-K9KING SERGEN0.3271TEK-ADAY—FALCON POWER SKG SK5
İstanbul-K1LO SIENTO BB0.2811BANT—ANY GIVEN SUNDAY1
İstanbul-K3LET IT BURN0.277BANT—WIND OF ROMANCE KG DB SK2
Adana-K8KAYAFATİH0.2454BANT—ASLAN HATİP K5
Adana-K3DR NECO0.2445BANT—YELLOW LION KG DB SK3
Adana-K10BAŞ DAĞYUDAN0.2308BANT⬜——
Adana-K6TELGRAF0.2305BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)TELGRAF KG SK1
Adana-K7BABA OCAĞI0.2176BANT⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi)BABA OCAĞI KG K1
İstanbul-K2MİSS KÜBRA0.2133BANT—AÇAKIZ KG K DB8
İstanbul-K9LAZMAN0.1949BANT—MAVİŞİN KIZI KG K DB2
Adana-K1ARSLAN OĞLU0.1881VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK✅ haklı vetoALİMENDER KG K DB5

Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 11 ayağın 3'inde aday yine kazandı (%27). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.

Sert veto: 1 ayakta tetiklendi, 0'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md

Bu tablo TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.

🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ

Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (32500 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-09-20).

Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %58 (11/19) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %32 (6/19) · kör nokta 0/19

ayakkazananorkestra sırasıteşhis
Adana-K1ALİMENDER2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Adana-K10BELALI CİBEK7🟠 ağırlık düşük
Adana-K2BELLAFINA3🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Adana-K3YELLOW LION2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Adana-K4ROSE WARRIOR3🟠 kol dar kalmış
Adana-K5SUN OF THE GÖKSU2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
Adana-K6TELGRAF1✅ sistem çalıştı
Adana-K7BABA OCAĞI1✅ sistem çalıştı
Adana-K8ASLAN HATİP7🟠 ağırlık düşük
Adana-K9FALCON POWER5🔴 ceza fazla sert
İstanbul-K1ANY GIVEN SUNDAY3🟠 kol dar kalmış
İstanbul-K2AÇAKIZ8🔴 ceza fazla sert
İstanbul-K3WIND OF ROMANCE2🟡 bantta, 1. değil
İstanbul-K4ASRA İNAT7🟠 ağırlık düşük
İstanbul-K5CHOSEN ONE1✅ sistem çalıştı
İstanbul-K6ÖZMEN BEY1✅ sistem çalıştı
İstanbul-K7SHIROKE8🔴 ceza fazla sert
İstanbul-K8MR TT1✅ sistem çalıştı
İstanbul-K9MAVİŞİN KIZI1✅ sistem çalıştı

Trend — son 30 gün

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Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.

TJK Günlük · POST-MORTEM · 2026-09-20