🔍 POST-MORTEM
21 Ekim 2026Günün kazananları · 21 Ekim 2026
MICKEY MO · ÖNCÜER · INFORMACTION · VARDAKOSTA · AZAPKAPI · ŞUBAT BEY · LADY BEGÜM · NO MORE SORROW · GOLDEN COOGER · KAŞIKÇIBEYİ · DRAGON BORA · LOVESICK GRILS · PAYİDAR KAYA · ALMİNA · BEACHCOMBER · LEO MELO · BALKIZIM · DIVINE SON · ASİL OĞLAN · SARİŞİM · OĞLUM VEFA · SANAE · KALKÜTA
Sim-Race uyumu · 21 Ekim 2026
| koşu | sim ilk 3 | gerçek ilk 3 | kazanan sim # | podyum | uyum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa 1 | DAKAPO · KAŞİF KAPTAN · KÖSTENCELİ BEY | MICKEY MO · KAŞİF KAPTAN · DAKAPO | 9 | 2/3 | 32 |
| Bursa 2 | CANCANER · KAŞIKÇIBEYİ · SANCAKALAN | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ · SANCAKALAN · BARBUDA | 2 | 2/3 | 72 |
| Bursa 3 | RAYMOND BABBITT · WADRON · DIVINE SON | DIVINE SON · RAYMOND BABBITT · HELLAS | 3 | 2/3 | 79 |
| Bursa 4 | THE RAPTOR · KALKÜTA · TAM TIME | KALKÜTA · THE RAPTOR · MARION | 2 | 2/3 | 71 |
| Bursa 5 | GOLDEN SNOW · AFTER BURNER · BEBEĞİM OLDUN | DRAGON BORA · BEBEĞİM OLDUN · BEYLERİNBEYİ | 4 | 1/3 | 0 |
| Bursa 6 | KARAGÜRGEN · GÖKDİL · EMSALLİ ER | ÖNCÜER · DÜMENCAN · CÜDA | 14 | 0/3 | 0 |
| Elazığ 1 | AŞAN GOLD · LEO MELO · ERULİNA | LEO MELO · AŞAN GOLD · DENİZ LARA | 2 | 2/3 | 54 |
| Elazığ 2 | SEDERİ GÜZELİ · MERTENS · ELİFİN IŞIĞI | ŞUBAT BEY · MERTENS · ELİFİN IŞIĞI | 9 | 2/3 | 30 |
| Elazığ 3 | YAĞIZALP · ESSANCAR · OLGUNADAM | PAYİDAR KAYA · OLGUNADAM · DERBEDER ALİ | 6 | 1/3 | 2 |
| Elazığ 4 | MEMORY REMAINS · ATOM CEMİL · ANADOLU KAPLANI | INFORMACTION · MEMORY REMAINS · ANADOLU KAPLANI | 7 | 2/3 | 0 |
| Elazığ 5 | GÖKTEKİ YAĞMUR · LORD OF KİRVE · LOVESICK GRILS | LOVESICK GRILS · LORD OF KİRVE · EMİNÖNÜ | 3 | 2/3 | 42 |
| Elazığ 6 | SARİŞİM · IRRITABLE GIRL · LADY ÇEVİK | SARİŞİM · IRRITABLE GIRL · MI GULIETTA | 1 | 2/3 | 58 |
| Elazığ 7 | NIGHT KING · KADIKÖY GÜZELİ · MENKAR | GOLDEN COOGER · KİKAZARU · NIGHT KING | 4 | 1/3 | 41 |
| İstanbul 1 | KUKLACI KIZ · BALKIZIM · ALCANZAR | BALKIZIM · ÖZGÜNDEN · GÜNŞİRAY | 2 | 1/3 | 0 |
| İstanbul 2 | BEACHCOMBER · SONG RISING · GREY GHOST | BEACHCOMBER · SONG RISING · QUANTUM OF SOLACE | 1 | 2/3 | 80 |
| İstanbul 3 | KAYIPSIZ · O BİR ÇELİK · SARAFİM | AZAPKAPI · SARAFİM · NAMSAL | 6 | 1/3 | 0 |
| İstanbul 4 | ÇINARALTI KIZI · ÇİLDUTAY · ALMİNA | ALMİNA · ÇINARALTI KIZI · GÜNEŞÇEKER | 3 | 2/3 | 79 |
| İstanbul 5 | VICTORY LANE · FATMA ZERYAM · HERKHAN STAR | LADY BEGÜM · ARNAVUT KIZ · HERKHAN STAR | 5 | 1/3 | 48 |
| İstanbul 6 | BALLIBİKE · YAMAN ÖZGE · OĞLUM VEFA | OĞLUM VEFA · BALLIBİKE · ALAZVUR | 3 | 2/3 | 76 |
| İstanbul 7 | BAY MIRIK · ASİL OĞLAN · KERPETEN YALÇIN | ASİL OĞLAN · ÇERKEZHAN · DENİZ SAVAŞI | 2 | 1/3 | 7 |
| İstanbul 8 | SANAE · ART OF VICTORY · ANSHBA SKY | SANAE · COSE DELLA VITA · ANSHBA SKY | 1 | 2/3 | 36 |
| İstanbul 9 | ULU EZGİ · BAYANBADEŞAN · AHMOZE | VARDAKOSTA · ALLER YILDIZI · GÖREN ABLA | 7 | 0/3 | 47 |
| İstanbul 10 | DEEP OF ANCESTOR · NO MORE SORROW · DANCING KING | NO MORE SORROW · FIRST MAY · DEEP OF ANCESTOR | 2 | 2/3 | 65 |
TJK_PM.py · otomatik · YORUM içermez
Kart: Bursa, Elazığ, İstanbul
🎯 M3 — motor-1 sıra isabeti: 6/23 — %26
(misyon metriği — MİSYON-TEK-ARAYISI.md: "M1 değil M3". Tüm kart, kupon/izlenen ayrımı yok.)
AYAK AYAK — bant tuttu mu
K = kuponda oynandı · M = yalnız motor bandı (kupona girmedi)
| ayak | bandımız | kazanan | AGF | sonuç | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K | Bursa-K1 | KAŞİF KAPTAN · DAKAPO · KÖSTENCELİ BEY · TRUST MY POWER · COLLECTOR MAN | MICKEY MO | 9 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Bursa-K2 | SUFLE · KAŞIKÇIBEYİ · CANCANER · BARBUDA · ŞAH DRAGON | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K3 | RAYMOND BABBITT · WADRON | DIVINE SON | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Bursa-K4 | THE RAPTOR · KALKÜTA | KALKÜTA | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Bursa-K5 | AFTER BURNER · GOLDEN SNOW | DRAGON BORA | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Bursa-K6 | KARAGÜRGEN · STARCAN · CAVİDANCAN · GÖKDİL · DEĞERBİLİR · EMSALLİ ER · DÜMENCAN · ESRABO · DADY · DADY · LİNAM · BALA SULTAN | ÖNCÜER | 11 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| M | Elazığ-K1 | AŞAN GOLD · LEO MELO | LEO MELO | ? | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K2 | SEDERİ GÜZELİ · MERTENS | ŞUBAT BEY | 7 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K3 | YAĞIZALP · PAYİDAR KAYA · OLGUNADAM · BERHAN BEYLİ · MUCİZE HAN · ESSANCAR · DERBEDER ALİ · BIÇKIN KRAL · BİTİRİM SEDA · QUATRO · BIÇKIN KRAL · BİTİRİM SEDA | PAYİDAR KAYA | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K4 | MEMORY REMAINS · ATOM CEMİL · ASALTIN | INFORMACTION | 7 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | Elazığ-K5 | GÖKTEKİ YAĞMUR · LOVESICK GRILS · LORD OF KİRVE · ARASIN KIZI · KING RHAEGAL | LOVESICK GRILS | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K6 | IRRITABLE GIRL · SARİŞİM · MI GULIETTA | SARİŞİM | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | Elazığ-K7 | MISTER MIN JOU · MENKAR · NIGHT KING · KADIKÖY GÜZELİ | GOLDEN COOGER | 2 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K1 | BALKIZIM · ALCANZAR · NİLPERİ · GÜNŞİRAY · KUKLACI KIZ | BALKIZIM | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K2 | BEACHCOMBER · SONG RISING · GREY GHOST | BEACHCOMBER | 2 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K3 | O BİR ÇELİK · KAYIPSIZ · SARAFİM | AZAPKAPI | 5 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K4 | ÇİLDUTAY · ÇINARALTI KIZI | ALMİNA | 3 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K5 | HERKHAN STAR · VICTORY LANE · FATMA ZERYAM · ENDLESS LOVE · BLACK RUBY | LADY BEGÜM | 4 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K6 | OĞLUM VEFA · BALLIBİKE · YAMAN ÖZGE · YAMAN ÖZGE · YÜCEALP | OĞLUM VEFA | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K7 | ASİL OĞLAN · KERPETEN YALÇIN · BAY MIRIK | ASİL OĞLAN | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K8 | SANAE · FINAL LEGEND | SANAE | 1 | ✅ BANTTA |
| K | İstanbul-K9 | BAYANBADEŞAN · ALLER YILDIZI · AHMOZE · ULU EZGİ | VARDAKOSTA | 7 | ❌ KAÇTI |
| K | İstanbul-K10 | NO MORE SORROW · DEEP OF ANCESTOR · GLONASS · DANCING KING · CIRCUIT BREAKER | NO MORE SORROW | 3 | ✅ BANTTA |
M1 · OYNANAN ayaklar: 11/22 — %50
(bant isabeti — misyon metriği DEĞİL, bkz. yukarıdaki M3)
(tüm ayaklar dahil: 12/23 — %52)
KUPON — kaçıncı ayakta düştü
- Bursa · K1→K6 — 1. ayakta düştü (Bursa-K1 · MICKEY MO)
- Elazığ · K2→K7 — 1. ayakta düştü (Elazığ-K2 · ŞUBAT BEY)
- İstanbul · K1→K6 — 3. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K3 · AZAPKAPI)
- İstanbul · K5→K10 — 1. ayakta düştü (İstanbul-K5 · LADY BEGÜM)
SORU-27 · AGF-1 bant dışındayken ne oldu
Biriken ölçüm. Tek gün KARAR VERMEZ — her kart satır ekler.
Soru: motor AGF-1'i dışarıda bıraktığında o at kazanıyor mu, ve kolonu açmak öder mi?
| ayak | AGF-1 | bantta mıydı | kazandı mı |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa-K1 | Dakapo | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K2 | Cancaner | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K3 | Raymond Babbitt | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K4 | The Raptor | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K5 | Golden Snow | ✅ | — |
| Bursa-K6 | Karagürgen | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K2 | Sederi̇ Güzeli̇ | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K3 | Yağizalp | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K4 | Memory Remains | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K5 | Lord Of Ki̇rve | ✅ | — |
| Elazığ-K6 | Sari̇şi̇m | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| Elazığ-K7 | Night King | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K1 | Alcanzar | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K10 | Circuit Breaker | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K2 | Song Rising | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K3 | Kayipsiz | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K4 | Çinaralti Kizi | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K5 | Victory Lane | ✅ | — |
| İstanbul-K6 | Oğlum Vefa | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K7 | Asi̇l Oğlan | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K8 | Sanae | ✅ | 🏆 KAZANDI |
| İstanbul-K9 | Ulu Ezgi̇ | ✅ | — |
🎯 TEK KAPISI — günün karnesi
Atılan TEK: 2/4 (beklenti ~%35 (bugünkü TEK'lerin p ortalaması))
| ayak | TEK | p | karar | sonuç | kazanan | kazanan AGF |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elazığ-K1 | AŞAN GOLD | 0.4328 | VETO · DOGU-K1 | ✅ haklı veto | LEO MELO DB SK | — |
| Elazığ-K4 | MEMORY REMAINS | 0.4081 | TEK | ❌ | INFORMACTION KG SK | 7 |
| Elazığ-K5 | GÖKTEKİ YAĞMUR | 0.3799 | TEK-ADAY | — | LOVESICK GRILS SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K7 | ASİL OĞLAN | 0.3539 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | ASİL OĞLAN KG K | 1 |
| İstanbul-K8 | SANAE | 0.3492 | VETO · PIST-DONUS | 🔴 YANLIŞ VETO | SANAE K DB | 1 |
| Elazığ-K3 | YAĞIZALP | 0.3344 | BANT | — | PAYİDAR KAYA SK | 1 |
| Bursa-K5 | AFTER BURNER | 0.3196 | TEK | ❌ | DRAGON BORA KG K DB ÖG SGKR | 4 |
| İstanbul-K2 | BEACHCOMBER | 0.3086 | TEK | ✅ TUTTU | BEACHCOMBER KG DB SK | 2 |
| İstanbul-K3 | O BİR ÇELİK | 0.2888 | TEK-ADAY | — | AZAPKAPI KG DB | 5 |
| Bursa-K3 | RAYMOND BABBITT | 0.2858 | TEK-ADAY | — | DIVINE SON SKG SK | 2 |
| Elazığ-K2 | SEDERİ GÜZELİ | 0.2836 | BANT | — | ŞUBAT BEY DB SKG SK | 7 |
| Bursa-K4 | THE RAPTOR | 0.277 | BANT | — | KALKÜTA DB SKG SK | 2 |
| Elazığ-K7 | MISTER MIN JOU | 0.2702 | BANT | ⬜ | — | — |
| Bursa-K6 | KARAGÜRGEN | 0.2692 | BANT | — | ÖNCÜER K | 11 |
| İstanbul-K9 | BAYANBADEŞAN | 0.2602 | TEK-ADAY | — | VARDAKOSTA KG SK | 7 |
| İstanbul-K1 | BALKIZIM | 0.245 | VETO · ACILIS-KALABALIK | 🔴 YANLIŞ VETO | BALKIZIM KG K DB | 2 |
| Elazığ-K6 | IRRITABLE GIRL | 0.2334 | VETO · PIST-DONUS | ✅ haklı veto | SARİŞİM DB SKG SK | 1 |
| İstanbul-K4 | ÇİLDUTAY | 0.2292 | BANT | — | ALMİNA K | 3 |
| Bursa-K2 | SUFLE | 0.2186 | BANT | — | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ KG DB SK | 2 |
| Bursa-K1 | DAKAPO | 0.2123 | BANT | — | MICKEY MO | 9 |
| İstanbul-K10 | NO MORE SORROW | 0.2123 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | NO MORE SORROW KG DB SK | 3 |
| İstanbul-K5 | HERKHAN STAR | 0.1781 | BANT | — | LADY BEGÜM KG DB SK | 4 |
| İstanbul-K6 | OĞLUM VEFA | 0.1727 | BANT | ⚠️ aday kazandı (TEK atılabilirdi) | OĞLUM VEFA DB SK | 1 |
Karşı-olgu: TEK atmadığımız 10 ayağın 2'inde aday yine kazandı (%20). Bu oran atılan TEK oranına yaklaşırsa kart başına TEK sayısı artırılabilir.
Sert veto: 4 ayakta tetiklendi, 2'inde aday yine kazandı (yanlış veto). Biriken karne: 07-Data/TEK-KARNE.md
Bu tablo
TEK-DEFTERI.csvden okunur ve her kartta büyür. Bir veto yanlış-veto oranını tabanın (%25-30) üstüne çıkarırsa ölçümle ölür — 14.08 öncesi eksik olan geri besleme buydu.
🔁 ÖĞRENME DÖNGÜSÜ
Otomatik — orkestra_skor_takip_uret.py + svg_grafik.py. Kaynak: ORKESTRA-SKOR-TAKIP.csv (33038 koşu, 2021-08-25 → 2026-10-21).
Bugün: M1 (bant isabeti) %57 (13/23) · M3 (1. sıra isabeti) %26 (6/23) · kör nokta 0/23
| ayak | kazanan | orkestra sırası | teşhis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bursa-K1 | MICKEY MO | 9 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Bursa-K2 | KAŞIKÇIBEYİ | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Bursa-K3 | DIVINE SON | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Bursa-K4 | KALKÜTA | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Bursa-K5 | DRAGON BORA | 3 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Bursa-K6 | ÖNCÜER | 15 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Elazığ-K1 | LEO MELO | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K2 | ŞUBAT BEY | 8 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
| Elazığ-K3 | PAYİDAR KAYA | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K4 | INFORMACTION | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| Elazığ-K5 | LOVESICK GRILS | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K6 | SARİŞİM | 2 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| Elazığ-K7 | GOLDEN COOGER | 6 | 🟠 ağırlık düşük |
| İstanbul-K1 | BALKIZIM | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K10 | NO MORE SORROW | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K2 | BEACHCOMBER | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K3 | AZAPKAPI | 4 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K4 | ALMİNA | 3 | 🟡 bantta, 1. değil |
| İstanbul-K5 | LADY BEGÜM | 5 | 🟠 kol dar kalmış |
| İstanbul-K6 | OĞLUM VEFA | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K7 | ASİL OĞLAN | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K8 | SANAE | 1 | ✅ sistem çalıştı |
| İstanbul-K9 | VARDAKOSTA | 8 | 🔴 ceza fazla sert |
Trend — son 30 gün
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y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M1 (bant)</text><circle cx="132" cy="250" r="3.5" fill="#2f855a"/><text x="140" y="254" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:10px" fill="#2d3748">M3 (1. sıra)</text></svg>
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<svg viewBox="0 0 640 198" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" style="max-width:100%;background:#ffffff;border-radius:6px"><rect x="0" y="0" width="640" height="198" fill="#ffffff"/><text x="320" y="18" text-anchor="middle" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:13px;font-weight:600" fill="#1a202c">Teşhis dağılımı — son 30 gün</text><text x="122" y="49" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟡 bantta, 1. değil</text><rect x="128" y="36" width="468.0" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="602.0" y="49" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">155</text><text x="122" y="75" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">✅ sistem çalıştı</text><rect x="128" y="62" width="398.6" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="532.6" y="75" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">132</text><text x="122" y="101" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 kol dar kalmış</text><rect x="128" y="88" width="295.9" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="429.9" y="101" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">98</text><text x="122" y="127" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🟠 ağırlık düşük</text><rect x="128" y="114" width="217.4" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="351.4" y="127" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">72</text><text x="122" y="153" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 ceza fazla sert</text><rect x="128" y="140" width="169.1" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="303.1" y="153" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">56</text><text x="122" y="179" text-anchor="end" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#2d3748">🔴 KÖR NOKTA</text><rect x="128" y="166" width="27.2" height="16" fill="#2b6cb0" rx="2"/><text x="161.2" y="179" style="font-family:-apple-system,Segoe UI,sans-serif;font-size:11px" fill="#1a202c">9</text></svg>
Makine yazdı. Yorum, ders ve kural önerisi PI + Claude işidir ve bu dosyanın ALTINA eklenir.